
383 
FNUS54 KMRX 151934
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
234 PM EST WED DEC 15 2010

.DISCUSSION...
    
A WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION 
OVERNIGHT...WITH SOME ICE AND SNOW ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE. THIS 
PRECIPITATION WILL COMPLETELY CHANGE OVER TO RAIN ON THURSDAY...AS 
TEMPERATURES WARM RAPIDLY OVER THE REGION.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-162045-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
234 PM EST WED DEC 15 2010

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      20-25 (+14)  36-41 (+14)  25-30        38-43        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+15) 81-86 (+32)  95-100       66-71        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/FZ RA   SLEET/RAIN   RAIN         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            8            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   11 PM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.43         0.35         0.07         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2200                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 46                      W  6         
DISPERSION                         4 VERY POOR               10 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE
20S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS
14 TO 23. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-162045-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
234 PM EST WED DEC 15 2010

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (+13)  35-40 (+12)  25-30        38-43        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+19) 89-94 (+44)  95-100       60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6 G16                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  6 G16     W  8 G17     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/FZ RA   SLEET/RAIN   SNOW/RAIN    NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            8            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   11 PM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.22         0.23         0.10         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2900                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 48                      W 12         
DISPERSION                         3 VERY POOR               10 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE
20S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S
TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS
14 TO 24. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S
TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-162045-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
234 PM EST WED DEC 15 2010

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (+15)  37-42 (+10)  24-29        40-45        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+19) 88-93 (+49)  95-100       59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 13 G31                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 12 G30    W  9 G25     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/FZ RA   FRZ RAIN     RAIN         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            8            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   11 PM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.20         0.14         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 51                     W 10         
DISPERSION                         0 VERY POOR               6 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW.
LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S
TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS
12 TO 24. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE 20S TO 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-162045-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
234 PM EST WED DEC 15 2010

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (+17)  41-46 (+11)  27-32        44-49        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+20) 85-90 (+44)  95-100       54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 10 G26                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         SW  9 G26    NW  7 G17    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    FRZ RAIN     RAIN         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       7            5            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   11 PM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.19         0.14         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2100                      3200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 49                     NW  8        
DISPERSION                         0 VERY POOR               8 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS 18 TO 26. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-162045-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
234 PM EST WED DEC 15 2010

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (+18)  42-47 (+10)  28-33        47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+22) 81-86 (+45)  95-100       52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  8 G21                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  7 G21    NW  8 G17    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    FRZ RAIN     RAIN         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       7            5            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   11 PM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.18         0.15         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2400                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 51                     NW 13        
DISPERSION                         4 VERY POOR               13 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI                          9                         6            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 20S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-162045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
234 PM EST WED DEC 15 2010

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (+14)  38-43 (+13)  28-33        41-46        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+16) 87-92 (+35)  95-100       64-69        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  5         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/FZ RA   FRZ RAIN     RAIN         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            8            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   11 PM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.30         0.25         0.10         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 1800                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 48                      W  6         
DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   9 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW.
LOWS IN THE 20S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 16 TO 24.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-162045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
234 PM EST WED DEC 15 2010

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (+16)  39-44 (+12)  27-32        39-44        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+11) 86-91 (+36)  95-100       68-73        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  7 G16                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6 G16    NW  6        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/FZ RA   FRZ RAIN     RAIN         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       7            5            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   11 PM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.31         0.21         0.08         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 1500                      3200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 48                     NW  6        
DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   9 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS 18 TO 26. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-162045-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
234 PM EST WED DEC 15 2010 /134 PM CST WED DEC 15 2010/

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (+16)  42-47 (+12)  28-33        41-46        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+14) 82-87 (+35)  95-100       67-72        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 10 G21                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         SW  8 G20    NW  6 G16    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SLEET/RAIN   FRZ RAIN     RAIN         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       7            5            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   11 PM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.16         0.11         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 1400                      2800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 48                     NW  9        
DISPERSION                         7 POOR                    13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

