
399 
FNUS54 KMRX 150950
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
450 AM EST WED DEC 15 2010

.DISCUSSION...
    
A VERY COLD AIR MASS WILL LINGER OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 
REGION TODAY...WITH A WARM FRONT MOVING INTO THE AREA LATE TODAY AND 
TONIGHT. A WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION 
OVERNIGHT...WITH SOME ICE AND SNOW ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE. THIS 
PRECIPITATION WILL COMPLETELY CHANGE OVER TO RAIN ON THURSDAY...AS 
TEMPERATURES WARM RAPIDLY OVER THE REGION.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-161100-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
450 AM EST WED DEC 15 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (+10)  21-26 (+15)  38-43        
RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (0)    95-100 (+12) 85-90        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  7 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     SNOW/FZ RA   SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            100          90           
PRECIP DURATION                    4            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.20         0.25         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      2400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 10                     W 41         
DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID
20S TO LOWER 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER
30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-161100-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
450 AM EST WED DEC 15 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (+12)  20-25 (+14)  37-42        
RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (-2)   95-100 (+18) 81-86        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW 10 G22    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  9 G21     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/FZ RA   SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            100          90           
PRECIP DURATION                    3            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.14         0.18         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      3000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 13                     W 46         
DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               11 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID
20S TO LOWER 30S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S
TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-161100-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
450 AM EST WED DEC 15 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (+12)  24-29 (+16)  39-44        
RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (+4)   91-96 (+12)  69-74        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW 14 G30    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW 14 G30    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/FZ RA   SNOW/RAIN    RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           100          80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          4 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.14         0.17         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      3300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  9                      W 47         
DISPERSION            8 POOR                    9 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE MORNING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. COLDER. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S
TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 20S
TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-161100-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
450 AM EST WED DEC 15 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+8)   28-33 (+18)  43-48        
RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (+7)   88-93 (+13)  75-80        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S 12 G24     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         SW 10 G24    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/FZ RA   SNOW/RAIN    RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           100          80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.11         0.17         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      2300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  6                      W 44         
DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               8 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID
30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-161100-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
450 AM EST WED DEC 15 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (+9)   28-33 (+19)  44-49        
RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (+9)   84-89 (+9)   72-77        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S 10 G21     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  8 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/FZ RA   SNOW/RAIN    RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           100          80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.10         0.16         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      2600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  8                      W 44         
DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               13 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI             4                         6            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO
LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S. LIGHT
WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-161100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
450 AM EST WED DEC 15 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (+9)   23-28 (+15)  40-45        
RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (+3)   95-100 (+11) 86-91        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  8 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  7 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            100          90           
PRECIP DURATION                    5            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.18         0.19         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      2000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  6                     W 43         
DISPERSION            10 POOR                   20 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID
20S TO LOWER 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-161100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
450 AM EST WED DEC 15 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (+8)   26-31 (+17)  41-46        
RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (+3)   95-100 (+11) 87-92        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW 11 G22    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  7 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/FZ RA   SNOW/RAIN    FRZ RAIN     
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           100          80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          4 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.20         0.17         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      1800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  5                      W 40         
DISPERSION            7 POOR                    18 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE 20S
TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S
TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-161100-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
450 AM EST WED DEC 15 2010 /350 AM CST WED DEC 15 2010/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+8)   29-34 (+17)  44-49        
RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (+6)   95-100 (+20) 83-88        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW 11 G21    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         SW  8 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/FZ RA   SNOW/RAIN    RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           100          70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.12         0.15         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2800                      1600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  6                     W 41         
DISPERSION            8 POOR                    15 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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