
806 
FNUS54 KMRX 141959
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
300 PM EST TUE DEC 14 2010

.DISCUSSION...
A VERY COLD AIR MASS WILL LINGER OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 
REGION TONIGHT...WITH A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS 
APPROACHING THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY. A WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION 
WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WITH SOME ICE AND 
SNOW ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE. THIS PRECIPITATION WILL COMPLETELY 
CHANGE OVER TO RAIN ON THURSDAY...AS TEMPERATURES WARM RAPIDLY OVER 
THE REGION.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-152030-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
300 PM EST TUE DEC 14 2010

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      6-11 (-1)    26-31 (+12)  23-28        38-43        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+9)   43-48 (-7)   93-98        73-78        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5 G17     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         FRZ RAIN     SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            80           90           
PRECIP DURATION                                 3            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.19         0.44         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      2200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 12                     W 21         
DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   3 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO 
MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN 
THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS NEAR 30. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO 
LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO 
MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-152030-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
300 PM EST TUE DEC 14 2010

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      6-11 (-1)    27-32 (+14)  22-27        39-44        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (+3)   36-41 (-13)  90-95        71-76        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     SW  7 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G24    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  8 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            80           80           
PRECIP DURATION                                 4            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.16         0.26         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      2800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 16                     W 22         
DISPERSION                         30 FAIR                   1 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO 
MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN 
THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS 
IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH...SHIFTING 
TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO 
LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO 
MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO 
LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 25 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-152030-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
300 PM EST TUE DEC 14 2010

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      8-13 (+2)    30-35 (+13)  25-30        40-45        
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-2)   36-41 (-2)   87-92        74-79        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW 14 G31    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW 14 G32    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/FZ RA   SNOW/RAIN    RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           70           70           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       4 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.19         0.17         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      3100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 12                     SW 25        
DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   1 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST 
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN 
THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS 
IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH...SHIFTING 
TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 
UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE TEENS. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO 
UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO 
LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-152030-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
300 PM EST TUE DEC 14 2010

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      10-15 (+2)   33-38 (+9)   29-34        43-48        
RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (+2)   36-41 (+3)   83-88        73-78        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S 13 G26     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW 10 G25    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/FZ RA   SNOW/RAIN    RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           70           60           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.16         0.16         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      2200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  8                     SW 24        
DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    2 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST 
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS 
IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S 
TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S 
TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S 
TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-152030-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
300 PM EST TUE DEC 14 2010

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      9-14 (0)     34-39 (+9)   29-34        43-48        
RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (+2)   34-39 (+6)   79-84        68-73        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  9 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  8 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/FZ RA   SNOW/RAIN    RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           70           60           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.15         0.15         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      2400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 13                     SW 25        
DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               2 VERY POOR  
MAX LVORI                          3                         8            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST 
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS 
IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH...SHIFTING 
TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S. 
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S 
TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-152030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
300 PM EST TUE DEC 14 2010

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      8-13 (-1)    29-34 (+11)  25-30        42-47        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+12)  42-47 (-4)   92-97        71-76        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         FRZ RAIN     SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            80           80           
PRECIP DURATION                                 4            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.20         0.27         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      2000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  8                     W 21         
DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               8 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS 
IN THE 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S. 
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S 
TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S. 
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-152030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
300 PM EST TUE DEC 14 2010

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      9-14 (+1)    31-36 (+10)  27-32        44-49        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+7)   43-48 (0)    89-94        76-81        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW 11 G22    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  8 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/FZ RA   SNOW/RAIN    FRZ RAIN     
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           70           70           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       4 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.22         0.21         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      1700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  5                      SW 23        
DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    8 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 
30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS 
IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S 
TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S 
TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S 
TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-152030-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
300 PM EST TUE DEC 14 2010 /200 PM CST TUE DEC 14 2010/

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      12-17 (+3)   32-37 (+8)   30-35        46-51        
RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (+6)   45-50 (+6)   87-92        76-81        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S 11 G22     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  5 G15    SW  9 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/FZ RA   SNOW/RAIN    RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           70           60           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.14         0.17         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2900                      1600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  6                      SW 22        
DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    7 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO 
LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS 
IN THE MID 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 
LOWER TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S 
TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

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