
244 
FNUS54 KMRX 131957
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
300 PM EST MON DEC 13 2010

.DISCUSSION...
A VERY COLD AIR MASS WILL LINGER OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 
REGION THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...WITH A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE 
SOUTHERN PLAINS APPROACHING THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY. A WINTRY MIX OF 
PRECIPITATION WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT... 
WITH SOME LIGHT ICE AND SNOW ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE. THIS 
PRECIPITATION WILL COMPLETELY CHANGE OVER TO RAIN BY THURSDAY...AS 
TEMPERATURES WARM RAPIDLY OVER THE REGION.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-142100-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
300 PM EST MON DEC 13 2010

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      6-11 (-7)    16-21 (0)    8-13         28-33        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+1)   62-67 (-5)   85-90        56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9 G19                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 13 G24    NW 10 G19    W  7 G17     S  5         
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         SNOW/FZ RA   
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           20           0            30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                12 PM        
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.02         0.00         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      3200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 26                     W 13         
DISPERSION                         63 GOOD                   12 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...RAIN...FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET LIKELY. LOWS IN 
THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS NEAR 
30. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN 
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S 
TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTH 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO 
MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-142100-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
300 PM EST MON DEC 13 2010

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      6-11 (-5)    15-20 (+2)   9-14         27-32        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-3)   49-54 (-20)  87-92        55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 12 G25                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 16 G32    NW 13 G26    W  9 G25     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           30           0            30           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                12 PM        
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.02         0.00         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      3300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 30                     W 15         
DISPERSION                         66 GOOD                   7 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...RAIN...FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET LIKELY. LOWS IN 
THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN 
THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN 
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S 
TO LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO 
LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO 
LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-142100-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
300 PM EST MON DEC 13 2010

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      5-10 (-3)    22-27 (+9)   11-16        30-35        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+2)   30-35 (-39)  85-90        56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G27    NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           10           0            30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                7 AM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.01         0.00         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 21                     W 14         
DISPERSION                         40 FAIR                   6 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...BREEZY WITH RAIN...FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET 
LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO UPPER 40S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN 
THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN 
THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S 
TO LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO 
LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO 
LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-142100-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
300 PM EST MON DEC 13 2010

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      7-12 (-5)    26-31 (+7)   12-17        31-36        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+1)   27-32 (-33)  85-90        57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  6                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G22    N  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     NONE         NONE         SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     10           0            0            40           
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                   7 AM         
PRECIP END            7 AM                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.06         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      2800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 20                      SW 12        
DISPERSION                         47 GEN GOOD               8 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...RAIN...FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET LIKELY. LOWS IN 
THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 
MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 
30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN 
THE 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S 
TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S 
TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-142100-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
300 PM EST MON DEC 13 2010

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      8-13 (-4)    25-30 (+5)   12-17        31-36        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+2)   23-28 (-38)  85-90        57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G17                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 13 G27    NW  8 G16    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     NONE         NONE         SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            40           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      3200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 28                      W 13         
DISPERSION                         63 GOOD                   10 POOR      
MAX LVORI                          4                         5            

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...RAIN...FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET LIKELY. LOWS NEAR 
30. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 
MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 
30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN 
THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
30S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S 
TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S 
TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-142100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
300 PM EST MON DEC 13 2010

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      8-13 (-7)    19-24 (+1)   11-16        30-35        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (+2)   52-57 (-10)  85-90        56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  8 G16                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G23     NW  8 G16    W  5         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     FLURRIES     NONE         SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            30           
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                   7 AM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      3200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 20                     W 12         
DISPERSION                         54 GEN GOOD               17 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...RAIN...FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET LIKELY. LOWS IN 
THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN 
THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S 
TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO 
LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO 
LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-142100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
300 PM EST MON DEC 13 2010

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      7-12 (-7)    23-28 (+5)   12-17        31-36        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+4)   41-46 (-19)  85-90        58-63        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G21    NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     NONE         NONE         SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            40           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      2900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 16                     SW 12        
DISPERSION                         41 GEN GOOD               17 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...RAIN...FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET LIKELY. LOWS IN 
THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 
MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN 
THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN 
THE 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S 
TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S 
TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-142100-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
300 PM EST MON DEC 13 2010 /200 PM CST MON DEC 13 2010/

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      9-14 (-5)    25-30 (+5)   16-21        32-37        
RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (0)    37-42 (-17)  85-90        60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G18    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            40           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.07         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      2700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 15                     SW 13        
DISPERSION                         33 FAIR                   16 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY...WITH A CHANCE OF FREEZING RAIN AND 
SLEET. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN
THE 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS AROUND 40. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

