
569 
FNUS54 KMRX 130937
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
437 AM EST MON DEC 13 2010

.DISCUSSION...
    
A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TO OUR NORTHEAST WILL CONTINUE TO PULL 
AWAY FROM THE AREA...BUT VERY COLD AIR WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH INTO 
THE REGION THROUGH TUESDAY. ANOTHER SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE REGION 
ON WEDNESDAY.  


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-141045-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
437 AM EST MON DEC 13 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      15-20 (-17)  6-11 (-7)    15-20        
RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (-11)  89-94 (-2)   61-66        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 14 G24                  W  7 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 14 G24     W 12 G22     W  6 G15     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           40           20           
PRECIP DURATION       8            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.03         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 37                     NW 24        
DISPERSION            101 VERY GOOD             57 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 7 TO 13. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW...LIGHT FREEZING RAIN
AND LIGHT SLEET. LOWS 18 TO 28. LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...LIGHT FREEZING RAIN...LIGHT SLEET LIKELY...CHANCE OF
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO
MID 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-141045-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
437 AM EST MON DEC 13 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      12-17 (-19)  6-11 (-5)    15-20        
RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (-12)  86-91 (-4)   52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 18 G30                  NW 13 G25    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 17 G29    W 15 G28     NW  9 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           60           30           
PRECIP DURATION       8            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.05         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 38                     NW 29        
DISPERSION            80 GOOD                   63 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 8 TO 15. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...LIGHT FREEZING RAIN LIKELY...CHANCE OF SNOW
AND LIGHT SLEET LIKELY. LOWS 19 TO 27. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...LIGHT FREEZING RAIN LIKELY...CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 30S.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-141045-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
437 AM EST MON DEC 13 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      13-18 (-16)  6-11 (-2)    22-27        
RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (-10)  84-89 (-6)   38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 15 G27                 N  9 G21     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 15 G28    NW 11 G24    N  6 G15     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           40           10           
PRECIP DURATION       8            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.04         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5700                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 33                     NW 18        
DISPERSION            74 GOOD                   31 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 8 TO 16. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...LIGHT FREEZING RAIN...SNOW AND LIGHT SLEET
LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...LIGHT FREEZING RAIN LIKELY...CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-141045-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
437 AM EST MON DEC 13 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (-12)  9-14 (-3)    26-31        
RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (-18)  80-85 (-5)   35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 14 G24                 N  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 14 G25    N  9 G19     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           10           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 32                     NW 16        
DISPERSION            82 GOOD                   32 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 6 TO 16. LIGHT WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...LIGHT FREEZING RAIN
AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. LIGHT
WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...LIGHT FREEZING RAIN...LIGHT SLEET LIKELY AND
CHANCE OF RAIN. NOT AS COLD. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN LIKELY. NOT AS COOL.
HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-141045-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
437 AM EST MON DEC 13 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      20-25 (-12)  9-14 (-3)    25-30        
RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (-16)  83-88 (-2)   32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 13 G23                 N  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 14 G25    N 11 G19     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   
PRECIP END            7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 39                     NW 23        
DISPERSION            110 VERY GOOD             44 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI             4                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 9 TO 15. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...SLIGHT CHANCE OF
LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...LIGHT FREEZING RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF RAIN.
NOT AS COLD. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-141045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
437 AM EST MON DEC 13 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (-14)  9-14 (-6)    19-24        
RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (-13)  78-83 (-7)   52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 14 G24                  W  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 13 G23     W 10 G19     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 33                     NW 18        
DISPERSION            107 VERY GOOD             52 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 10 TO 16. LIGHT WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. LIGHT
WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...LIGHT FREEZING RAIN...LIGHT SLEET LIKELY AND
CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE 20S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...RAIN...LIGHT FREEZING RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-141045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
437 AM EST MON DEC 13 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (-12)  9-14 (-5)    22-27        
RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (-10)  81-86 (-3)   47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 13 G22                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 13 G22    NW  8 G19    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   
PRECIP END            7 PM                             
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 32                     NW 13        
DISPERSION            85 GOOD                   31 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 10 TO 18. LIGHT WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...LIGHT FREEZING RAIN
AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...LIGHT FREEZING RAIN...LIGHT SLEET...RAIN
LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. LIGHT
WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...RAIN...LIGHT FREEZING RAIN LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-141045-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
437 AM EST MON DEC 13 2010 /337 AM CST MON DEC 13 2010/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      20-25 (-10)  10-15 (-4)   25-30        
RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (-16)  72-77 (-8)   43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 14 G24                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 14 G24    NW  8 G18    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   
PRECIP END            7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 32                     NW 10        
DISPERSION            72 GOOD                   22 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 13 TO 22. LIGHT WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...SNOW...LIGHT
FREEZING RAIN AND LIGHT SLEET. HIGHS IN THE 30S. LIGHT WINDS
BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN LIKELY. NOT AS
COLD. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN LIKELY. NOT AS COOL.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS NEAR 40.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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