
115 
FNUS54 KMRX 121012
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
512 AM EST SUN DEC 12 2010

.DISCUSSION...
    
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL TRACK ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GREAT
LAKES REGION TODAY...DRAGGING A STRONG COLD FRONT THROUGH 
OUR AREA AND OFF TO OUR EAST THIS MORNING. MUCH COLDER AIR WILL 
PUSH IN BEHIND THE FRONT THROUGH MONDAY.  


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-131115-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
512 AM EST SUN DEC 12 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-12)  15-20 (-16)  17-22        
RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (+39)  92-97 (+4)   68-73        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G15                 W 14 G26     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G17     W 10 G18     W 15 G26     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           90           90           
PRECIP DURATION       5            8            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.19         0.12         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 22                      NW 36        
DISPERSION            66 GOOD                   93 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 4 TO
14. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
13 TO 24. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 8 TO 13. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND
PATCHY LIGHT FREEZING DRIZZLE. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...LIGHT FREEZING RAIN
AND SNOW SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-131115-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
512 AM EST SUN DEC 12 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-13)  12-17 (-17)  15-20        
RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (+40)  95-100 (+6)  64-69        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G18                 W 18 G32     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G23     W 14 G25     W 18 G31     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          90           
PRECIP DURATION       4            8            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.20         0.12         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 23                      NW 38        
DISPERSION            41 GEN GOOD               99 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 3 TO
13. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
13 TO 27. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 7 TO 13. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND
PATCHY LIGHT FREEZING DRIZZLE. NOT AS COLD. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S
TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...LIGHT FREEZING RAIN
AND SNOW SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-131115-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
512 AM EST SUN DEC 12 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-14)  11-16 (-17)  16-21        
RH % (24H TREND)      69-74 (+35)  95-100 (+13) 59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  9 G20                 W 16 G30     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 13 G24     W 15 G29     NW 16 G29    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           90           80           
PRECIP DURATION       2            8            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.24         0.10         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      5600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 24                      NW 33        
DISPERSION            59 GEN GOOD               71 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS ZERO
TO 13 ABOVE. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
14 TO 29. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 6 TO 13. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. NOT AS
COLD. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS...LIGHT FREEZING
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS
IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 20.
HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-131115-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
512 AM EST SUN DEC 12 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-17)  16-21 (-14)  21-26        
RH % (24H TREND)      69-74 (+39)  89-94 (+5)   46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 10 G20                  NW 14 G26    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G21     W 14 G25     NW 14 G26    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           60           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.15         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 25                      NW 32        
DISPERSION            86 GOOD                   77 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 4 TO 14. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 5 TO 14. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...LIGHT FREEZING RAIN
AND PATCHY LIGHT FREEZING DRIZZLE. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-131115-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
512 AM EST SUN DEC 12 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-15)  17-22 (-13)  22-27        
RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (+41)  93-98 (+12)  44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  8 G20                  NW 16 G28    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 13 G22     W 15 G26     NW 16 G28    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           60           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.13         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 25                      NW 39        
DISPERSION            86 GOOD                   105 VERY GOOD
MAX LVORI             4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 5 TO 13. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 8 TO 14. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN WITH
POSSIBLE RAIN AND FREEZING DRIZZLE. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-131115-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
512 AM EST SUN DEC 12 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-15)  17-22 (-14)  20-25        
RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (+41)  90-95 (0)    61-66        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G17                 W 15 G26     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G23     W 11 G22     W 15 G26     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           90           70           
PRECIP DURATION       4            8            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.16         0.10         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 24                      NW 33        
DISPERSION            74 GOOD                   98 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 7 TO 14. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS 15 TO 27. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 11. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND
PATCHY LIGHT FREEZING DRIZZLE. NOT AS COLD. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
UPPER 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS...LIGHT FREEZING
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE
40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-131115-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
512 AM EST SUN DEC 12 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-17)  16-21 (-14)  20-25        
RH % (24H TREND)      68-73 (+37)  84-89 (+3)   59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  8 G19                  W 14 G25     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G22     W 12 G24     NW 14 G25    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           80           50           
PRECIP DURATION       3            8            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.14         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 24                      NW 32        
DISPERSION            91 GOOD                   80 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 7 TO 14. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 9 TO 15. LIGHT WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN...RAIN
AND PATCHY LIGHT FREEZING DRIZZLE. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS...LIGHT FREEZING
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-131115-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
512 AM EST SUN DEC 12 2010 /412 AM CST SUN DEC 12 2010/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-18)  17-22 (-12)  22-27        
RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (+28)  81-86 (+2)   46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 10 G21                  NW 14 G26    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 13 G23     W 14 G26     NW 14 G25    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           60           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.08         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 28                      NW 32        
DISPERSION            102 VERY GOOD             72 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 9 TO 15. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 11 TO 19. LIGHT WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING
RAIN. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND LIGHT FREEZING
RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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