
304 
FNUS54 KMRX 041956
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
256 PM EST SAT DEC 4 2010

.DISCUSSION...
COLDER AIR WILL FLOW INTO THE REGION ON THE BACK SIDE OF AN EXITING 
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM...KEEPING SOME SNOW SHOWERS OR FLURRIES OVERNIGHT
MAINLY IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA...NORTHEAST 
TENNESSEE AND THE SMOKIES. ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED
...BUT MAINLY JUST THROUGH MIDNIGHT. A LARGE DOME OF HIGH PRESSURE 
WILL THEN BRING A DRY AND UNSEASONABLY COLD AIRMASS OVER THE REGION 
FOR NEXT WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-052100-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
256 PM EST SAT DEC 4 2010

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (-4)   25-30 (-6)   15-20        21-26        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+13) 65-70 (-12)  88-93        60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 11 G19                 W  7 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6 G15     NW 10 G19    W  8 G17     W  9 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           40           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.02         0.02         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 25                     NW 25        
DISPERSION                         47 GEN GOOD               72 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 7 TO 18. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 11 TO 18. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-052100-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
256 PM EST SAT DEC 4 2010

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (-3)   26-31 (-6)   14-19        22-27        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+14) 56-61 (-18)  85-90        50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 14 G27                 W 10 G21     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G22     NW 12 G24    NW 11 G22    NW 12 G23    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           40           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.02         0.02         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 26                     NW 30        
DISPERSION                         58 GEN GOOD               66 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 7 TO 17. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO MID 30S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 8 TO 17. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER
50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-052100-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
256 PM EST SAT DEC 4 2010

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (-3)   29-34 (-5)   15-20        27-32        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+12) 48-53 (-26)  88-93        39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 10 G21                  NW  8 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 12 G25    NW  9 G18    NW  6        NW 10 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           30           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.02         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 23                      NW 25        
DISPERSION                         51 GEN GOOD               43 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 4 TO 18. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 5 TO 17. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER
50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ087-102-052100-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
256 PM EST SAT DEC 4 2010

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-1)   35-40 (-3)   19-24        32-37        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+13) 42-47 (-31)  80-85        32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 11 G20                  NW  8 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G18    NW 10 G19    NW  6        NW 11 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            7 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 26                      NW 23        
DISPERSION                         79 GOOD                   60 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 9 TO 19. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 9 TO 18. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-052100-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
256 PM EST SAT DEC 4 2010

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (+1)   36-41 (-1)   20-25        34-39        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+5)  37-42 (-37)  78-83        26-31        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 13 G22                  NW  9 G19    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G23    NW 11 G20    NW  6        NW 12 G21    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            7 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 30                      NW 29        
DISPERSION                         87 GOOD                   70 GOOD      
MAX LVORI                          3                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 10 TO 18. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 10 TO 18. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS NEAR 50. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-052100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
256 PM EST SAT DEC 4 2010

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (-3)   30-35 (-4)   17-22        27-32        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+12) 55-60 (-20)  82-87        46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G18                 W  7 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6 G15     NW  9 G18    W  7         W 10 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         FLURRIES     SNOW SHOWERS NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                             
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 22                     NW 24        
DISPERSION                         50 GEN GOOD               80 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 11 TO 18. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 11 TO 17. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-052100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
256 PM EST SAT DEC 4 2010

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (-4)   33-38 (-3)   18-23        29-34        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+13) 50-55 (-25)  81-86        39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  9 G16                  NW  6 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G17    NW  8 G17    NW  6        NW  9 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         FLURRIES     SNOW SHOWERS NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            10           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                      CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING                7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.00         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 22                      NW 23        
DISPERSION                         57 GEN GOOD               76 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 12 TO 19. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 12 TO 18. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-052100-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
256 PM EST SAT DEC 4 2010 /156 PM CST SAT DEC 4 2010/

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-2)   36-41 (-8)   20-25        32-37        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+14) 45-50 (-25)  74-79        34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 11 G19                  NW  7 G19    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G21    NW 10 G17    NW  7        NW 11 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            7 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 25                      NW 25        
DISPERSION                         77 GOOD                   82 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 15 TO 20. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 15 TO 20. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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