
652 
FNUS54 KMRX 040919
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
600 AM EST SAT DEC 4 2010

.DISCUSSION...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 
REGION TODAY...BRINGING WINTRY PRECIPITATION ACROSS A LARGE PART OF 
THE AREA. LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE BY SUNDAY 
MORNING ACROSS SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...NORTHEAST TENNESSEE...AND THE 
MOUNTAINS. A LARGE DOME OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN BRING A DRY AND 
UNSEASONABLY COLD AIR MASS OVER THE REGION FOR NEXT WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-050915-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
600 AM EST SAT DEC 4 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-9)   22-27 (-3)   26-31        
RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (+30)  95-100 (+12) 62-67        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW 11 G19    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  5 G15    NW 11 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           70           40           
PRECIP DURATION       5            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.22         0.12         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 13                      NW 25        
DISPERSION            10 POOR                   53 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 
IN THE TEENS. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 
IN THE TEENS. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO 
LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-050915-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EST SAT DEC 4 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-11)  21-26 (-4)   26-31        
RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (+33)  95-100 (+13) 54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW 14 G26    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         W 11 G23     NW 13 G24    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           60           40           
PRECIP DURATION       5            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.24         0.13         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 16                      NW 26        
DISPERSION            3 VERY POOR               62 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 16 TO 22. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 
IN THE TEENS. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO 
LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-050915-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
600 AM EST SAT DEC 4 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-7)   23-28 (-4)   30-35        
RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (+32)  95-100 (+12) 46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N 10 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G24    W 13 G26     NW 11 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           70           30           
PRECIP DURATION       2            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.19         0.10         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 22                     N 23         
DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               54 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 
10 TO 22. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO MID 30S. WEST 
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 4 TO 18. NORTHWEST WINDS 
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE TEENS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO 
MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS 
IN THE LOWER 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-050915-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EST SAT DEC 4 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-8)   24-29 (-4)   36-41        
RH % (24H TREND)      70-75 (+33)  95-100 (+13) 41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5 G17                  N 11 G21     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G22     NW  8 G18    NW 10 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SNOW         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           40           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.19         0.06         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2800                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 22                     N 26         
DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               86 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 24. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 
MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE TEENS. NORTHWEST 
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 
MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO
MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-050915-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EST SAT DEC 4 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-9)   23-28 (-3)   37-42        
RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (+35)  95-100 (+5)  36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  5                     N 13 G23     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G15     NW  9 G22    NW 12 G21    
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           40           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.28         0.06         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 22                     N 30         
DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               98 GOOD      
MAX LVORI             6                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 24. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 
MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE TEENS. NORTHWEST 
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S 
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-050915-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
600 AM EST SAT DEC 4 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-11)  23-28 (-4)   31-36        
RH % (24H TREND)      70-75 (+33)  95-100 (+12) 51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW 10 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  7 G17     NW 11 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           50           20           
PRECIP DURATION       5            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         0.12         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2400                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     NW 22        
DISPERSION            10 POOR                   57 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 
16 TO 22. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST 
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE TEENS. NORTHWEST WINDS 
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO 
LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S
TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS 
IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-050915-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
600 AM EST SAT DEC 4 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-8)   25-30 (-4)   33-38        
RH % (24H TREND)      70-75 (+31)  95-100 (+13) 50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  9 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G16    NW  9 G18    NW  9        
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           40           0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.20         0.07         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2400                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 20                     N 22         
DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               64 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 
18 TO 24. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE TEENS. NORTHWEST WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-050915-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
600 AM EST SAT DEC 4 2010 /500 AM CST SAT DEC 4 2010/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (-6)   27-32 (-3)   37-42        
RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (+34)  95-100 (+14) 43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  5 G17                 N 10 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G19    NW 10 G22    NW 10 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2200                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 22                     N 25         
DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   86 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 
MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE TEENS. NORTHWEST WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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