
143 
FNUS54 KMRX 022015
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
315 PM EST THU DEC 2 2010

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM MAY BRING A LITTLE SNOW TO SOUTHWESTERN 
VIRGINIA TONIGHT...AND POSSIBLY A FEW SPRINKLES OR FLURRIES TO PARTS 
OF NORTHEAST TENNESSEE.  OTHERWISE...DRY WEATHER AND COOL 
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. 

A STRONGER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST BY 
SATURDAY MORNING...BRINGING RAIN AND THEN A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW 
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. SOME LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE 
POSSIBLE BY SUNDAY...BUT MAINLY OVER SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA AND THE 
HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF NORTHEAST TENNESSEE. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-032115-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
315 PM EST THU DEC 2 2010

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (+4)   38-43 (+3)   24-29        37-42        
RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (-3)   41-46 (-4)   95-100       63-68        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    NONE         SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            20           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                      1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            7 AM                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.01         0.27         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 10                      SW 16        
DISPERSION                         26 FAIR                   23 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
17 TO 29. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 17 TO 23. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S
TO MID 30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-032115-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
315 PM EST THU DEC 2 2010

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      20-25 (+4)   38-43 (+4)   24-29        36-41        
RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (-9)   40-45 (-1)   89-94        62-67        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  8 G16    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         NONE         SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            20           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                      1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            7 AM                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.01         0.24         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 15                      SW 17        
DISPERSION                         34 FAIR                   21 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER
30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH INCREASING TO 5 TO 15 MPH
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS 15 TO 23. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 15. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S
TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-032115-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
315 PM EST THU DEC 2 2010

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      18-23 (+2)   41-46 (+5)   25-30        40-45        
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-4)   34-39 (+2)   88-93        58-63        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  6         LGT/VAR      SW  8 G26    
PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     NONE         SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           60           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.15         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 17                      SW 24        
DISPERSION                         33 FAIR                   35 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID TEENS TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS 13 TO 24. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-032115-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
315 PM EST THU DEC 2 2010

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      20-25 (+2)   47-52 (+4)   27-32        47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (+1)   32-37 (+5)   95-100       50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  5         LGT/VAR      SW  8 G21    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            40           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.11         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 15                      SW 21        
DISPERSION                         32 FAIR                   28 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 14 TO 24. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-032115-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
315 PM EST THU DEC 2 2010

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (+1)   48-53 (+4)   27-32        47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (+5)   32-37 (+8)   95-100       50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  6         LGT/VAR      SW  7 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            40           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.12         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 16                      SW 16        
DISPERSION                         33 FAIR                   33 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER
30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 17 TO 24. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-032115-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
315 PM EST THU DEC 2 2010

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (+3)   41-46 (+4)   26-31        40-45        
RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (-6)   39-44 (-3)   95-100       62-67        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         NONE         SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            20           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                      1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            7 AM                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.01         0.21         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      2700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 12                      SW 17        
DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   17 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 19 TO 24. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-032115-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
315 PM EST THU DEC 2 2010

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (+3)   45-50 (+7)   28-33        43-48        
RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-1)   36-41 (-2)   92-97        59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         NONE         NONE         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     10           0            0            50           
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      2            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            7 AM                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.09         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      2500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 14                      SW 16        
DISPERSION                         39 FAIR                   18 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 19 TO 25. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-032115-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
315 PM EST THU DEC 2 2010 /215 PM CST THU DEC 2 2010/

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (+3)   49-54 (+6)   30-35        47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (+7)   36-41 (+4)   95-100       55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  7 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            40           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      2500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 16                      SW 18        
DISPERSION                         44 GEN GOOD               20 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID
20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS NEAR 40.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TG

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