
438 
FNUS54 KMRX 232014
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
314 PM EST TUE NOV 23 2010

.DISCUSSION...
THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION WILL REMAIN IN AN UNSETTLED WEATHER 
THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK.  


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-242115-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
314 PM EST TUE NOV 23 2010

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-16)  59-64 (-1)   43-48        62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-6)   31-36 (-31)  82-87        49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  9 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        E  6         SE 12 G23    SW 12 G21    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         1 PM         CONTINUING   11 AM        
PRECIP END            1 AM         CONTINUING   7 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.04         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            2            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  9                     SW 29        
DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   48 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER
40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 5 TO 10 MPH
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-242115-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
314 PM EST TUE NOV 23 2010

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-15)  58-63 (-1)   46-51        61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-3)   30-35 (-34)  65-70        44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S 11 G20     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  8 G16    SE 14 G26    SW 10 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         1 PM         CONTINUING   11 AM        
PRECIP END            4 AM         CONTINUING   7 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.01         0.02         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 10                      SW 25        
DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   29 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO
MID 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-242115-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
314 PM EST TUE NOV 23 2010

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-14)  59-64 (0)    47-52        61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (0)    37-42 (-30)  71-76        50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S 13 G26     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  7 G15     S 13 G25     SW 14 G26    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         1 PM         CONTINUING   11 AM        
PRECIP END            4 AM         CONTINUING   7 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.01         0.02         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 13                      SW 29        
DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   30 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO
MID 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-242115-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
314 PM EST TUE NOV 23 2010

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-13)  61-66 (-3)   50-55        65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+2)   38-43 (-24)  75-80        51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S 11 G22     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  7        SE 12 G23    S 13 G23     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         1 PM         CONTINUING   11 AM        
PRECIP END            1 AM         CONTINUING   7 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.02         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 16                      S 28         
DISPERSION                         25 FAIR                   46 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S
TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-242115-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
314 PM EST TUE NOV 23 2010

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-10)  60-65 (-4)   46-51        65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+8)   37-42 (-23)  83-88        52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  5                     S  9 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  6        SE 12 G21    S 10 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         1 PM         CONTINUING   11 AM        
PRECIP END            4 AM         CONTINUING   7 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.01         0.02         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 16                      SW 26        
DISPERSION                         24 FAIR                   43 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI                          4                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-242115-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
314 PM EST TUE NOV 23 2010

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-16)  60-65 (-1)   45-50        63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-3)   34-39 (-29)  77-82        49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  7 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      E  6         SE 10 G21    SW 10 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         1 PM         CONTINUING   11 AM        
PRECIP END            1 AM         CONTINUING   7 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.02         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 12                     SW 25        
DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               49 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S
TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-242115-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
314 PM EST TUE NOV 23 2010

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-17)  61-66 (0)    47-52        64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-3)   38-43 (-24)  82-87        53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  E  5                      S 11 G21     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        S  9 G21     S 13 G23     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           20           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         1 PM         CONTINUING   11 AM        
PRECIP END            1 AM         CONTINUING   7 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.03         0.06         
LAL                   1            1            1            2            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 14                     SW 30        
DISPERSION                         24 FAIR                   61 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER
40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 5 TO 10 MPH
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-242115-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
314 PM EST TUE NOV 23 2010 /214 PM CST TUE NOV 23 2010/

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-16)  63-68 (-1)   50-55        66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-2)   39-44 (-22)  84-89        55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S 10 G20     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  7         S 11 G21     S 12 G21     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           20           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         1 PM         CONTINUING   11 AM        
PRECIP END            10 PM        CONTINUING   7 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.02         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            2            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 18                      SW 28        
DISPERSION                         39 FAIR                   64 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER
40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 5 TO
10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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