
534 
FNUS54 KMRX 212015
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
315 PM EST SUN NOV 21 2010

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL LINGER OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 
THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...BRINGING DRY AND TRANQUIL CONDITIONS WITH 
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES. A COLD FRONT WILL THEN MOVE INTO THE 
REGION ON TUESDAY...AND STALL OUT AROUND THE MOUNTAIN BY TUESDAY 
NIGHT. AN UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN WITH CONTINUED CHANCES FOR RAIN 
WILL DEVELOP FOR THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK AND INTO THANKSGIVING DAY.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-222115-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
315 PM EST SUN NOV 21 2010

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+5)   64-69 (+2)   47-52        61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-4)   45-50 (+9)   90-95        57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  7 G18                  SW 12 G25    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         SW  9 G20    S  8 G17     SW 13 G24    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            60           
PRECIP DURATION                                              2            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.28         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 22                     SW 32        
DISPERSION                         65 GOOD                   62 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. 
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S
TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN
THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO
LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S 
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-222115-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
315 PM EST SUN NOV 21 2010

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+3)   63-68 (+2)   45-50        60-65        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-1)   44-49 (-2)   90-95        57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  7                      SW  9 G20    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G16     SW  7 G15    S  9 G17     W 12 G22     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            50           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.19         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 17                     W 23         
DISPERSION                         41 GEN GOOD               35 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. 
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER 
MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S
TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S 
TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S 
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-222115-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
315 PM EST SUN NOV 21 2010

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-4)   63-68 (+2)   44-49        60-65        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-1)   47-52 (-1)   90-95        60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 11 G20                  SW 12 G22    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G19     S 11 G20     S 12 G23     SW 12 G22    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            50           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.31         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 21                     SW 23        
DISPERSION                         44 GEN GOOD               31 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 
30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO 
LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO 
MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-222115-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
315 PM EST SUN NOV 21 2010

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-2)   66-71 (+2)   47-52        63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-4)   47-52 (-1)   90-95        60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 10 G21                  SW 10 G19    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G16     S 11 G20     S 10 G20     SW  9 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            50           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.40         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 24                      SW 23        
DISPERSION                         68 GOOD                   48 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. 
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S 
TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO 
MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-222115-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
315 PM EST SUN NOV 21 2010

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+2)   65-70 (+2)   46-51        62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-12)  46-51 (-7)   90-95        60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  8 G18                  SW  8 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         S 10 G19     S  8 G15     SW  9 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            50           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.37         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 21                      SW 23        
DISPERSION                         59 GEN GOOD               45 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S 
TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-222115-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
315 PM EST SUN NOV 21 2010

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+2)   66-71 (+2)   47-52        63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-6)   44-49 (-4)   91-96        57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      SW  9 G20    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         SW  8 G17    S  6         SW 13 G23    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            50           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.27         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 20                     SW 28        
DISPERSION                         60 GEN GOOD               60 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. 
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS NEAR 50. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-222115-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
315 PM EST SUN NOV 21 2010

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+4)   67-72 (+2)   51-56        64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-8)   46-51 (-5)   90-95        60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  9 G21                  SW 11 G21    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G16     S 11 G23     S  9 G19     SW 12 G22    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            60           
PRECIP DURATION                                              2            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.44         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 28                     SW 30        
DISPERSION                         82 GOOD                   66 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. 
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S 
TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 
40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-222115-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
315 PM EST SUN NOV 21 2010 /215 PM CST SUN NOV 21 2010/

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+3)   69-74 (+2)   52-57        66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-7)   47-52 (-3)   90-95        62-67        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  9 G20                  SW  9 G19    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G16     S 11 G21     S  9 G18     SW  9 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            60           
PRECIP DURATION                                              2            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.49         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 28                      SW 26        
DISPERSION                         88 GOOD                   61 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 
40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS NEAR 50. 
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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