
690 
FNUS54 KMRX 162000
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
300 PM EST TUE NOV 16 2010

.DISCUSSION...
A STRONG AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE NORTHEAST TOWARD THE 
NORTHEAST UNITED STATES TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY ENDING THE CHANCE OF 
RAIN. ANOTHER WEAK SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT 
AND THURSDAY PRODUCING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.  A RIDGE OF HIGH 
PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY THURSDAY AND FRIDAY 
WITH SEASONAL TEMPERATURES AND DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR THE 
WEEKEND.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-172100-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
300 PM EST TUE NOV 16 2010

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-8)   50-55 (-7)   34-39        50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   46-51 (-18)  82-87        50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9 G20                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 16 G30    W  9 G19     LGT/VAR      W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            0            30           
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            7 AM                                   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6300                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 28                      W  9         
DISPERSION                         103 VERY GOOD             20 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-172100-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
300 PM EST TUE NOV 16 2010

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-10)  48-53 (-8)   31-36        49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-1)  44-49 (-20)  86-91        49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 11 G26                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 13 G25    W  8 G19     LGT/VAR      NW  8 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                   7 AM         
PRECIP END            7 AM                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6200                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 30                     W  9         
DISPERSION                         87 GOOD                   18 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-172100-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
300 PM EST TUE NOV 16 2010

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-11)  49-54 (-7)   28-33        50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-7)   41-46 (-26)  89-94        46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7 G18                  W  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 16 G29    W  6 G15     LGT/VAR      NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                   7 AM         
PRECIP END            7 AM                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6100                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 21                     W  7         
DISPERSION                         52 GEN GOOD               15 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO
MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-172100-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
300 PM EST TUE NOV 16 2010

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-13)  53-58 (-6)   31-36        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (-6)   40-45 (-23)  94-99        46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G25     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            7 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 17                     SW  7        
DISPERSION                         53 GEN GOOD               17 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-172100-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
300 PM EST TUE NOV 16 2010

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-14)  54-59 (-6)   30-35        55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-8)   40-45 (-21)  95-100       43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G22     NW  6        LGT/VAR      NW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            7 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6500                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 22                     W  7         
DISPERSION                         79 GOOD                   23 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          3                         5            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-172100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
300 PM EST TUE NOV 16 2010

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-9)   52-57 (-6)   33-38        53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-2)  43-48 (-20)  87-92        48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  8 G17                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 14 G28    W  7         LGT/VAR      W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            7 AM                                   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 23                      W  7         
DISPERSION                         78 GOOD                   18 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID
30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS
BECOMING WEST LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID
60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-172100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
300 PM EST TUE NOV 16 2010

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-10)  53-58 (-5)   34-39        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (-4)   43-48 (-25)  89-94        48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 15 G28    W  5         LGT/VAR      NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                      1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            7 AM                      CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.00         0.01         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 17                      SW  7        
DISPERSION                         52 GEN GOOD               19 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-172100-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
300 PM EST TUE NOV 16 2010 /200 PM CST TUE NOV 16 2010/

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-11)  55-60 (-5)   36-41        56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (-6)   41-46 (-21)  88-93        43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G26     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                      1 AM                      
PRECIP END            1 AM                      CONTINUING                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 15                     SW  8        
DISPERSION                         47 GEN GOOD               22 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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