
862 
FNUS54 KMRX 160821
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
321 AM EST TUE NOV 16 2010

.DISCUSSION...
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK NORTHEAST FROM THE WESTERN GULF 
COAST TODAY...SPREADING A LARGE AREA OF RAIN INTO THE TENNESSEE 
VALLEY AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS. THIS SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHEAST 
OUT OF THE REGION LATE TONIGHT...WITH RAIN ENDING BEFORE DAYBREAK 
WEDNESDAY. DRY WEATHER WILL BRIEFLY RETURN ON WEDNESDAY...WITH 
SEASONAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED THIS WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-170930-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
321 AM EST TUE NOV 16 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+2)   36-41 (-7)   50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (+7)   95-100 (0)   41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  9 G21                 W 10 G21     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G23     SW 15 G29    W  9 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          50           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.76         0.08         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      6800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 18                     W 31         
DISPERSION            23 FAIR                   128 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. LIGHT
WINDS. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-170930-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
321 AM EST TUE NOV 16 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+3)   35-40 (-8)   49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      73-78 (-2)   95-100 (0)   38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 11 G28                 W 11 G25     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 14 G30     SW 13 G25    W 10 G20     
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          50           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.79         0.03         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      6600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 20                     W 33         
DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   112 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID
30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO
THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-170930-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
321 AM EST TUE NOV 16 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+6)   34-39 (-11)  51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      69-74 (-15)  92-97 (-5)   30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  8 G22                 W  8 G20     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 13 G28    SW 14 G27    W  8 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          40           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.72         0.05         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      6600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 31                      W 23         
DISPERSION            38 FAIR                   71 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-170930-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
321 AM EST TUE NOV 16 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+6)   34-39 (-14)  55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (-17)  87-92 (-10)  30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  8 G22                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 12 G28    W 13 G27     W  5         
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.66         0.03         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      6200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 30                      W 18         
DISPERSION            42 GEN GOOD               66 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-170930-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
321 AM EST TUE NOV 16 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (+6)   34-39 (-15)  57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (-15)  87-92 (-10)  25-30        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 10 G22                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 13 G25    W 13 G25     W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.74         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      7000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 21                      NW 23        
DISPERSION            36 FAIR                   96 GOOD      
MAX LVORI             4                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-170930-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
321 AM EST TUE NOV 16 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+4)   37-42 (-7)   52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      69-74 (-4)   95-100 (-2)  38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     E  8 G22                  W  9 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 11 G23     SW 14 G26    W  7         
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          50           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.74         0.06         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2800                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 17                      W 26         
DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               99 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. LIGHT
WINDS. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID
60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-170930-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
321 AM EST TUE NOV 16 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+6)   36-41 (-9)   53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (-10)  93-98 (-4)   41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  7 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 11 G28     SW 14 G30    SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.71         0.06         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2800                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 28                      W 20         
DISPERSION            36 FAIR                   67 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-170930-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
321 AM EST TUE NOV 16 2010 /221 AM CST TUE NOV 16 2010/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (+8)   36-41 (-10)  56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (-16)  86-91 (-11)  38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 13 G28    W 12 G27     SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.56         0.04         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2700                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 35                     W 17         
DISPERSION            47 GEN GOOD               60 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...CLEAR. HIGHS NEAR 60. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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