
185 
FNUS54 KMRX 152021
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
321 PM EST MON NOV 15 2010

.DISCUSSION...
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA TONIGHT. A LARGE 
AREA OF LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN WILL SPREAD INTO THE REGION AHEAD OF 
IT...AND LINGER WELL INTO TUESDAY. DRY WEATHER WILL BRIEFLY RETURN 
ON WEDNESDAY...WITH SEASONAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED THIS WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-162130-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
321 PM EST MON NOV 15 2010

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+1)   54-59 (+2)   36-41        51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+8)  74-79 (+3)   95-100       40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  8 G15     SW  8 G19    W  5         
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          50           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            8            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.56         0.82         0.09         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2200                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 25                      NW 23        
DISPERSION                         2 VERY POOR               77 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN
10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO
MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-162130-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
321 PM EST MON NOV 15 2010

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+2)   52-57 (+2)   35-40        49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+10) 68-73 (-7)   95-100       39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  6                     W  7 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  7 G15     SW  7 G16    W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          50           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            8            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.66         0.80         0.05         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2800                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 32                      NW 25        
DISPERSION                         1 VERY POOR               70 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-162130-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
321 PM EST MON NOV 15 2010

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+4)   55-60 (+5)   33-38        50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+11) 73-78 (-11)  93-98        37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6 G17                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 11 G25     SW 12 G26    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          40           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            8            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.91         0.83         0.06         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      6200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 31                      NW 17        
DISPERSION                         2 VERY POOR               46 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-162130-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
321 PM EST MON NOV 15 2010

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+7)   57-62 (+4)   34-39        55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+4)  76-81 (-7)   92-97        31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  7 G17                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 10 G20     SW  8 G20    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            8            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         1.00         0.86         0.04         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2300                      6200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 31                      NW 16        
DISPERSION                         5 VERY POOR               59 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.
LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-162130-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
321 PM EST MON NOV 15 2010

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+7)   56-61 (+2)   34-39        57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+5)  78-83 (-4)   95-100       29-34        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  8 G15     W  5 G15     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            8            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         1.06         0.91         0.03         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2400                      6800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 33                      NW 21        
DISPERSION                         2 VERY POOR               81 GOOD      
MAX LVORI                          9                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. LIGHT
WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-162130-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
321 PM EST MON NOV 15 2010

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+3)   57-62 (+4)   37-42        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+7)  64-69 (-9)   95-100       37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  7         SW  7        W  5         
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          50           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            8            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.69         0.80         0.07         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2000                      5600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 23                      NW 20        
DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    69 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. LIGHT
WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-162130-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
321 PM EST MON NOV 15 2010

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+4)   58-63 (+6)   37-42        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+8)  66-71 (-11)  93-98        40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  8 G17     SW  8 G18    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            8            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.75         0.80         0.07         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 1900                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 21                      NW 16        
DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   54 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. LIGHT
WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID
60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-162130-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
321 PM EST MON NOV 15 2010 /221 PM CST MON NOV 15 2010/

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+3)   58-63 (+6)   36-41        56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+13) 69-74 (-9)   90-95        36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  7 G19                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 11 G20    W  8 G18     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            8            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.81         0.70         0.04         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 1900                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 26                     NW 15        
DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               53 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
40S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S
TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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