
589 
FNUS54 KMRX 150817
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
317 AM EST MON NOV 15 2010

.DISCUSSION...
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP OVER THE WESTERN GULF COAST 
STATES TODAY...WHICH WILL PUSH A WARM FRONT NORTHWARD INTO THE 
TENNESSEE VALLEY AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS BY EARLY THIS EVENING. 
A LARGE AREA OF LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN WILL SPREAD INTO THE REGION
AND LINGER WELL INTO TUESDAY. DRY WEATHER WILL BRIEFLY RETURN ON 
WEDNESDAY...WITH SEASONAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED THIS WEEK.

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-160930-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
317 AM EST MON NOV 15 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-5)   43-48 (+3)   53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (+12)  95-100 (+8)  76-81        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           80           100          
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.36         0.45         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  3                      S 31         
DISPERSION            8 POOR                    43 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-160930-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
317 AM EST MON NOV 15 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-6)   42-47 (+3)   51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (+23)  95-100 (+10) 73-78        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  5        
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           90           100          
PRECIP DURATION       2            8            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.40         0.56         0.39         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  7                     S 29         
DISPERSION            11 POOR                   25 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER
60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-160930-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
317 AM EST MON NOV 15 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-6)   42-47 (+4)   53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (+30)  95-100 (+11) 73-78        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NE  5        SW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           100          100          
PRECIP DURATION       2            8            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.62         0.75         0.45         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  8                     S 30         
DISPERSION            9 POOR                    21 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER
60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-160930-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
317 AM EST MON NOV 15 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (-6)   45-50 (+7)   55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      73-78 (+30)  95-100 (+4)  74-79        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NE  6        SW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          100          
PRECIP DURATION       5            8            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.79         1.02         0.55         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      3200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  7                     S 32         
DISPERSION            10 POOR                   30 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS NEAR 40.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. LIGHT
WINDS BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER
60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-160930-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
317 AM EST MON NOV 15 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (-5)   44-49 (+6)   55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (+26)  95-100 (+5)  73-78        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NE  5        S  5         
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          100          
PRECIP DURATION       5            8            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.82         1.19         0.61         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     S 32         
DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               40 FAIR      
MAX LVORI             5                         5            

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO
LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-160930-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
317 AM EST MON NOV 15 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (-5)   44-49 (+4)   54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (+16)  95-100 (+7)  71-76        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           80           100          
PRECIP DURATION       2            8            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.31         0.49         0.39         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      3000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  3                      S 26         
DISPERSION            7 POOR                    34 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-160930-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
317 AM EST MON NOV 15 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-5)   44-49 (+5)   55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (+16)  95-100 (+8)  72-77        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  7 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           80           100          
PRECIP DURATION       2            5            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.33         0.52         0.55         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      3000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  5                      S 29         
DISPERSION            8 POOR                    43 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS NEAR 40.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER
60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-160930-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
317 AM EST MON NOV 15 2010 /217 AM CST MON NOV 15 2010/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-6)   45-50 (+4)   55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      68-73 (+16)  95-100 (+13) 71-76        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  6 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NE  6        SW 11 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           90           100          
PRECIP DURATION       5            8            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.62         0.74         0.53         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2800                      3000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  5                      S 32         
DISPERSION            7 POOR                    51 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS NEAR 40.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS NEAR 60. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO
LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO
MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TG/TD

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