
707 
FNUS54 KMRX 041856
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
256 PM EDT THU NOV 4 2010

.DISCUSSION...
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL INCREASE BEHIND A STRONG COLD FRONT AND 
PRODUCE UNSEASONABLY COLD TEMPERATURES BEGINNING TONIGHT AND 
CONTINUING THROUGH SATURDAY...WITH HIGHER ELEVATIONS SEEING SOME 
SNOWFALL. A WARMING TREND WILL BEGIN SUNDAY INTO NEXT WEEK WITH 
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES.

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-052000-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
256 PM EDT THU NOV 4 2010

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-11)  39-44 (-7)   25-30        40-45        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  55-60 (-12)  91-96        43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6 G15                 NW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        NW  9 G16    NW  5        NW  9        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           70           60           30           
PRECIP DURATION       2            3            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.13         0.06         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      7500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 16                     NW 17        
DISPERSION                         35 FAIR                   85 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 18 TO 27. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-052000-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
256 PM EDT THU NOV 4 2010

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-13)  36-41 (-7)   23-28        37-42        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  59-64 (-13)  95-100       44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7 G16                 NW  7 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7        NW 10        NW  7 G16    NW 10 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           70           60           40           
PRECIP DURATION       2            3            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.22         0.10         0.06         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      7800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 17                     NW 18        
DISPERSION                         26 FAIR                   79 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 16 TO 26. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-052000-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
256 PM EDT THU NOV 4 2010

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-15)  37-42 (-7)   22-27        38-43        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+3)  50-55 (-8)   92-97        38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6 G16                 NW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7 G16    NW  9 G17    NW  5 G15    N  9 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           70           50           30           
PRECIP DURATION       2            4            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.20         0.06         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      7000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 16                     NW 16        
DISPERSION                         24 FAIR                   54 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 13 TO 27. NORTHEAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-052000-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
256 PM EDT THU NOV 4 2010

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-14)  43-48 (-8)   26-31        42-47        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (-1)   44-49 (-7)   81-86        37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6 G15                 NW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        NW  8        NW  6 G15    N  9 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           10           10           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   5 AM         8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.09         0.01         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      6500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 17                     N 17         
DISPERSION                         48 GEN GOOD               65 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 18 TO 28. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. LIGHT
WINDS. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-052000-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
256 PM EDT THU NOV 4 2010

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-14)  44-49 (-6)   26-31        42-47        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-5)   44-49 (-6)   77-82        35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7 G17                 NW  7 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7 G15    NW 10 G18    NW  7        N  9 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   5 AM         8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.10         0.02         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      6800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 20                     N 18         
DISPERSION                         55 GEN GOOD               74 GOOD      
MAX LVORI                          4                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 19 TO 27. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-052000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
256 PM EDT THU NOV 4 2010

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-13)  42-47 (-6)   26-31        42-47        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  53-58 (-11)  88-93        40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6 G16                  NW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         NW  9        NW  5        NW  8 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           60           30           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.09         0.03         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      7400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 15                     NW 16        
DISPERSION                         39 FAIR                   83 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 19 TO 27. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-052000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
256 PM EDT THU NOV 4 2010

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-12)  42-47 (-10)  25-30        43-48        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   48-53 (-4)   88-93        36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7 G16                 NW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6 G15    NW  8 G16    NW  5        NW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           50           10           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   5 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.08         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      6600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 17                     N 15         
DISPERSION                         49 GEN GOOD               70 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS
BECOMING SOUTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-052000-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
256 PM EDT THU NOV 4 2010 /156 PM CDT THU NOV 4 2010/

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-11)  44-49 (-10)  26-31        45-50        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-7)   43-48 (-3)   79-84        32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G19                 NW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G17    NW 10 G19    NW  6 G15    N  8 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          2 AM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.07         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 21                     N 16         
DISPERSION                         76 GOOD                   64 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

DGS/TD

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