
378 
FNUS54 KMRX 040846
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
446 AM EDT THU NOV 4 2010

.DISCUSSION...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING OCCASIONAL RAIN SHOWERS OVER THE 
REGION TODAY. A STRONG COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 
UNSEASONABLY COLD TEMPERATURES FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...WITH HIGHER 
ELEVATIONS SEEING SOME SNOW.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-051000-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
446 AM EDT THU NOV 4 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-9)   33-38 (-9)   41-46        
RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (+12)  83-88 (-10)  54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5                     W  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7 G16    NW  6        W  7         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           80           60           
PRECIP DURATION       4            7            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.10         0.09         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6800                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 16                     NW 15        
DISPERSION            65 GOOD                   28 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 18 TO 26. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-051000-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
446 AM EDT THU NOV 4 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (-9)   31-36 (-10)  38-43        
RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (+9)   89-94 (-4)   55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  7                     W  7         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G17    NW  7 G15    W  9 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           80           60           
PRECIP DURATION       4            8            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         0.14         0.09         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6600                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 17                     NW 16        
DISPERSION            57 GEN GOOD               18 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 19 TO
29. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 16 TO 26. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-051000-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
446 AM EDT THU NOV 4 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-7)   29-34 (-13)  38-43        
RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (-8)   93-98 (-1)   53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  7 G17                  NW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G19    NW  9 G20    NW  8 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           70           60           
PRECIP DURATION       2            6            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.19         0.09         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6600                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 16                     NW 15        
DISPERSION            50 GEN GOOD               17 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID TEENS TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS 13 TO 27. NORTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO
MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-051000-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
446 AM EDT THU NOV 4 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-4)   32-37 (-14)  42-47        
RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-19)  86-91 (-4)   51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  8 G17                  NW  6 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G18    NW  7 G17    NW 10 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           40           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.07         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6400                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 18                      NW 17        
DISPERSION            71 GOOD                   44 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 18 TO 28. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-051000-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
446 AM EDT THU NOV 4 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-5)   32-37 (-14)  41-46        
RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-22)  85-90 (-4)   54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  8 G16                  NW  7 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G19    NW  8 G16    NW 11 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           40           40           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.06         0.06         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6500                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 21                      NW 18        
DISPERSION            77 GOOD                   47 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI             3                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 19 TO 27. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID
50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-051000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
446 AM EDT THU NOV 4 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-7)   34-39 (-10)  43-48        
RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (+3)   80-85 (-14)  51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5                     W  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7 G16    NW  6        W  8         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           60           60           
PRECIP DURATION       4            3            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.07         0.07         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6500                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 16                     NW 15        
DISPERSION            68 GOOD                   34 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 19 TO 27. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. LIGHT
WINDS. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
LIGHT WINDS. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-051000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
446 AM EDT THU NOV 4 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (-4)   34-39 (-10)  44-49        
RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (-10)  82-87 (-13)  50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  7 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G18    NW  7 G16    NW  8 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           50           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.05         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6900                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 16                     NW 16        
DISPERSION            77 GOOD                   41 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-051000-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
446 AM EDT THU NOV 4 2010 /346 AM CDT THU NOV 4 2010/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (0)    34-39 (-10)  46-51        
RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-19)  82-87 (-14)  49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  7 G17                  NW 10 G20    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G21    NW  9 G19    NW 10 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            5 PM         CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.04         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6800                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 20                     NW 21        
DISPERSION            95 GOOD                   69 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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