
520 
FNUS54 KMRX 030820
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
420 AM EDT WED NOV 3 2010

.DISCUSSION...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING INCREASING CLOUDS...AND SCATTERED 
SHOWERS OVER THE REGION TODAY AND THURSDAY. A STRONG COLD FRONT IS 
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE UNSEASONABLY COLD TEMPERATURES FOR FRIDAY AND 
SATURDAY.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-040930-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
420 AM EDT WED NOV 3 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (-3)   42-47 (+5)   51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (+8)   87-92 (+15)  48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           80           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            4            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.60         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      6100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  5                      NW 14        
DISPERSION            7 POOR                    50 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN
THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-040930-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
420 AM EDT WED NOV 3 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (-4)   43-48 (+7)   49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (+11)  93-98 (+18)  53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           80           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.67         0.06         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      6300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  5                     NW 15        
DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               47 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-040930-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
420 AM EDT WED NOV 3 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (-5)   42-47 (+3)   50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (+21)  95-100 (+16) 49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  8 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           80           50           
PRECIP DURATION       2            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.51         0.06         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      6400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  3                      NW 14        
DISPERSION            4 VERY POOR               40 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS 17 TO 29. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN
THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-040930-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
420 AM EDT WED NOV 3 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (-6)   45-50 (+2)   53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (+22)  95-100 (+17) 46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  8 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           90           50           
PRECIP DURATION       2            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.46         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  6                     NW 16        
DISPERSION            8 POOR                    50 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-040930-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
420 AM EDT WED NOV 3 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (-7)   44-49 (+2)   52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (+27)  95-100 (+12) 49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  7 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  9 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           90           50           
PRECIP DURATION       2            6            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.47         0.06         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      6500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  7                     NW 18        
DISPERSION            12 POOR                   66 GOOD      
MAX LVORI             5                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S
TO LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-040930-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
420 AM EDT WED NOV 3 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (-3)   44-49 (+5)   53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (+13)  93-98 (+16)  46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           80           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            4            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.59         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  3                      NW 14        
DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               40 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN
THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S
TO LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-040930-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
420 AM EDT WED NOV 3 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (-6)   43-48 (+2)   54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (+17)  95-100 (+15) 45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  9 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           80           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            4            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.42         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  3                      NW 15        
DISPERSION            5 VERY POOR               45 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO
LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S
TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-040930-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
420 AM EDT WED NOV 3 2010 /320 AM CDT WED NOV 3 2010/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (-9)   45-50 (0)    56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (+21)  95-100 (+20) 42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  6 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW 11 G22    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           80           30           
PRECIP DURATION       2            4            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.33         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  7                     NW 20        
DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               57 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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