
958 
FNUS54 KMRX 021839
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
239 PM EDT TUE NOV 2 2010

.DISCUSSION...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPING OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER 
VALLEY WILL SLOWLY MOVE EAST TONIGHT...BRINGING INCREASING 
CLOUDINESS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION. SCATTERED SHOWERS 
WILL DEVELOP OVER THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WITH 
A STRONG COLD FRONT BRINGING UNSEASONABLY COLD TEMPERATURES FOR 
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-031945-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
239 PM EDT TUE NOV 2 2010

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-2)   58-63 (-2)   42-47        52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (+1)   46-51 (+12)  89-94        43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  8 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW 10 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           70           40           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.12         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  7                      NW 18        
DISPERSION                         23 FAIR                   62 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S
TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...CLEAR...WARMER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-031945-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
239 PM EDT TUE NOV 2 2010

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-1)   54-59 (-4)   42-47        50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (+1)   50-55 (+15)  93-98        46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  6 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW 11 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           80           50           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            4            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       11 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.19         0.07         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6200                      6100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  8                      NW 18        
DISPERSION                         23 FAIR                   54 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S
TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO
UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-031945-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
239 PM EDT TUE NOV 2 2010

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+2)   54-59 (-4)   42-47        50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (+6)   60-65 (+23)  95-100       40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW 10 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           80           50           
PRECIP DURATION                    2            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.08         0.20         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6400                      6200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  7                     NW 16        
DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               44 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE TEENS TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE 30S TO 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-031945-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
239 PM EDT TUE NOV 2 2010

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+2)   56-61 (-5)   45-50        55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (+5)   61-66 (+23)  95-100       36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  6 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N 11 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           70           90           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   11 AM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.11         0.17         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  7                      N 18         
DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               54 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER
30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...CLEAR...WARMER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-031945-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
239 PM EDT TUE NOV 2 2010

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+2)   55-60 (-6)   44-49        55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (+5)   67-72 (+30)  95-100       34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N 10 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           70           90           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            6            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   11 AM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.12         0.18         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6200                      6300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  8                      NW 20        
DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   69 GOOD      
MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER
30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...CLEAR...WARMER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO
UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-031945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
239 PM EDT TUE NOV 2 2010

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-1)   58-63 (-3)   43-48        55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (+4)   51-56 (+16)  93-98        40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  7         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  9        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           70           40           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       11 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.14         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  6                     NW 16        
DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               45 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S
TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER
30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...CLEAR...WARMER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-031945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
239 PM EDT TUE NOV 2 2010

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-1)   58-63 (-4)   43-48        55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (+8)   54-59 (+16)  95-100       40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  7 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  9 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           70           30           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       11 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   11 AM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.10         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  5                     NW 17        
DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               47 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER
60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-031945-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
239 PM EDT TUE NOV 2 2010 /139 PM CDT TUE NOV 2 2010/

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+1)   56-61 (-8)   44-49        57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (+1)   60-65 (+22)  95-100       37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  8 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N 10 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           70           80           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            4                         
PRECIP BEGIN          2 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.09         0.10         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  8                     N 20         
DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   55 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO
LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

