
857 
FNUS54 KMRX 250902
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
502 AM EDT MON OCT 25 2010

.DISCUSSION...
WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS 
THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION TODAY.  SHOWERS WILL LINGER 
OVERNIGHT...THEN A COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO APPROACH THE AREA LATE 
TUESDAY AND TODAY NIGHT.  


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-261015-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
502 AM EDT MON OCT 25 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (-3)   55-60 (+1)   73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (+26)  95-100 (+3)  52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G23                  S 10 G21     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G15     LGT/VAR      S 14 G25     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           0            40           
PRECIP DURATION       5                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                      8 AM         
PRECIP END            8 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.63         0.00         0.05         
LAL                   3            1            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 30                     SW 32        
DISPERSION            47 GEN GOOD               99 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-261015-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
502 AM EDT MON OCT 25 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (-6)   52-57 (+1)   72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (+24)  95-100 (+5)  53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 11 G22                  S 11 G22     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         S  5         S 14 G25     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           20           40           
PRECIP DURATION       5            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.73         0.03         0.05         
LAL                   3            1            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 28                     SW 30        
DISPERSION            40 FAIR                   70 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO
20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN
THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-261015-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
502 AM EDT MON OCT 25 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (-3)   54-59 (+3)   72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (+15)  95-100 (+6)  58-63        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 14 G29                 S 14 G28     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G17     S  7 G15     S 17 G32     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          20           50           
PRECIP DURATION       5            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.64         0.04         0.08         
LAL                   3            1            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5700                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 32                     SW 37        
DISPERSION            47 GEN GOOD               72 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...BREEZY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS
10 TO 25 MPH BECOMING WEST UP TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-261015-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
502 AM EDT MON OCT 25 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (-1)   57-62 (+4)   74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (+11)  95-100 (+3)  59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 12 G26                  S 12 G24     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G18     S  7 G15     S 15 G27     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          20           50           
PRECIP DURATION       5            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.48         0.05         0.08         
LAL                   3            1            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 31                     S 37         
DISPERSION            45 GEN GOOD               93 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO
20 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST UP TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-261015-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
502 AM EDT MON OCT 25 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (0)    58-63 (+5)   73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (+9)   93-98 (-3)   60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G20                  S 10 G21     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G15     SE  5        S 13 G23     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          20           40           
PRECIP DURATION       5            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.54         0.05         0.10         
LAL                   3            1            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 30                     S 33         
DISPERSION            60 GEN GOOD               92 GOOD      
MAX LVORI             4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-261015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
502 AM EDT MON OCT 25 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (-4)   54-59 (+1)   74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (+21)  95-100 (+3)  55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G22                  S 10 G21     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         LGT/VAR      S 14 G23     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           20           40           
PRECIP DURATION       5            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.67         0.01         0.06         
LAL                   3            1            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 30                     SW 32        
DISPERSION            54 GEN GOOD               99 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
NEAR 50. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-261015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
502 AM EDT MON OCT 25 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (-3)   56-61 (+1)   75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (+13)  95-100 (+8)  59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 12 G25                  S 12 G23     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G16     S  5         S 15 G26     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          10           50           
PRECIP DURATION       5            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.43         0.01         0.09         
LAL                   3            1            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 30                     SW 38        
DISPERSION            50 GEN GOOD               119 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS AROUND 70. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-261015-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
502 AM EDT MON OCT 25 2010 /402 AM CDT MON OCT 25 2010/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (-3)   59-64 (+3)   76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (+14)  95-100 (+7)  61-66        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 11 G22                 S 12 G23     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G20     S  7         S 15 G26     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          20           50           
PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.29         0.03         0.09         
LAL                   3            1            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 29                     S 37         
DISPERSION            57 GEN GOOD               111 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 60. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS AROUND 70. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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