
649 
FNUS54 KMRX 241845
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
245 PM EDT SUN OCT 24 2010

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL SWING ACROSS THE REGION LATE TONIGHT 
AND MONDAY...THEN A COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO APPROACH THE AREA ON 
TUESDAY.  


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-251945-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
245 PM EDT SUN OCT 24 2010

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+9)   68-73 (-4)   55-60        75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+27)  56-61 (+23)  95-100       52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S 12 G28     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  7        S  5         S 18 G31     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           90           20           40           
PRECIP DURATION       2            5            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          4 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.64         0.02         0.02         
LAL                   3            3            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 20                      SW 43        
DISPERSION                         47 GEN GOOD               127 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO
20 MPH DECREASING TO UP TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-251945-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
245 PM EDT SUN OCT 24 2010

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+9)   65-70 (-6)   52-57        73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (+22)  56-61 (+24)  95-100       50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S 13 G27     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         SW  6        S  7 G17     S 18 G30     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           90           20           40           
PRECIP DURATION       2            5            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          4 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.74         0.02         0.02         
LAL                   3            3            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 21                      SW 40        
DISPERSION                         40 FAIR                   94 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID
60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO
UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-251945-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
245 PM EDT SUN OCT 24 2010

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+10)  66-71 (-6)   54-59        71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+16)  55-60 (+16)  95-100       58-63        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6 G16                 S 17 G34     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G18     SW  7        S 11 G26     S 21 G37     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           20           50           
PRECIP DURATION       2            3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.24         0.62         0.02         0.04         
LAL                   3            3            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 22                     SW 46        
DISPERSION                         47 GEN GOOD               98 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...BREEZY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 25 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-251945-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
245 PM EDT SUN OCT 24 2010

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+11)  70-75 (-3)   57-62        73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+19) 53-58 (+11)  95-100       61-66        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6                     S 15 G31     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         SW  6        S 10 G23     S 19 G33     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           20           50           
PRECIP DURATION       2            3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.56         0.46         0.02         0.07         
LAL                   3            3            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 18                     S 44         
DISPERSION                         45 GEN GOOD               110 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S
TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-251945-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
245 PM EDT SUN OCT 24 2010

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+14)  71-76 (0)    58-63        73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+17) 54-59 (+9)   94-99        61-66        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S 12 G26     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        S  7 G17     S 16 G28     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           20           40           
PRECIP DURATION       2            3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.40         0.53         0.02         0.06         
LAL                   3            3            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      6200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 22                     SW 41        
DISPERSION                         60 GEN GOOD               141 VERY GOOD
MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-251945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
245 PM EDT SUN OCT 24 2010

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+9)   71-76 (-2)   54-59        75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+24) 52-57 (+18)  95-100       53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S 11 G27     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6 G15    S  5         S 17 G30     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           90           20           40           
PRECIP DURATION       2            5            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          4 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.67         0.02         0.02         
LAL                   3            3            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 21                      SW 41        
DISPERSION                         54 GEN GOOD               119 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-251945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
245 PM EDT SUN OCT 24 2010

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+9)   72-77 (-3)   56-61        74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+19)  51-56 (+10)  95-100       60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S 16 G31     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        S  7 G19     S 18 G33     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           20           50           
PRECIP DURATION       3            3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.45         0.41         0.02         0.06         
LAL                   3            3            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 21                     S 45         
DISPERSION                         50 GEN GOOD               114 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-251945-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
245 PM EDT SUN OCT 24 2010 /145 PM CDT SUN OCT 24 2010/

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+10)  73-78 (-3)   59-64        74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+18)  52-57 (+12)  95-100       67-72        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     S 15 G30     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  7         S 10 G20     S 17 G30     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          70           20           50           
PRECIP DURATION       3            2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          12 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.63         0.27         0.02         0.09         
LAL                   3            3            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 21                     SW 41        
DISPERSION                         57 GEN GOOD               122 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 60. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID TO
UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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