
168 
FNUS54 KMRX 231911
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
311 PM EDT SAT OCT 23 2010

.DISCUSSION...
AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY MOVE EAST OFF THE ATLANTIC 
COAST THROUGH SUNDAY. A STORM SYSTEM WILL THEN APPROACH THE 
TENNESSEE VALLEY REGION FROM THE WEST BY SUNDAY NIGHT AND INTO 
MONDAY...BRINGING A RETURNING CHANCE OF SHOWERS TO THE AREA. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-241000-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
311 PM EDT SAT OCT 23 2010

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+8)   70-75 (-1)   52-57        66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (+5)   31-36 (+9)   87-92        65-70        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      S 10 G20     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  8 G15    S  7 G15     SW 11 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           90           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.06         0.43         
LAL                   1            1            2            3            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6800                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 17                     SW 35        
DISPERSION                         72 GOOD                   98 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID
60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-241000-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
311 PM EDT SAT OCT 23 2010

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+4)   69-74 (+1)   50-55        65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+19)  32-37 (+9)   92-97        63-68        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S 12 G23     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        SW  7        S 10 G22     SW  9 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           90           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.04         0.41         
LAL                   1            1            2            3            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6800                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 13                     SW 31        
DISPERSION                         45 GEN GOOD               80 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-241000-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
311 PM EDT SAT OCT 23 2010

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (0)    69-74 (+2)   50-55        67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+29) 36-41 (+13)  95-100       61-66        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6                      SW 13 G27    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         S  9 G16     S 13 G26     S 12 G26     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            60           90           
PRECIP DURATION                                 2            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.16         0.58         
LAL                   1            1            2            3            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6700                      5800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 17                     SW 35        
DISPERSION                         54 GEN GOOD               83 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 25 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-241000-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
311 PM EDT SAT OCT 23 2010

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+1)   71-76 (-1)   52-57        71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+20) 38-43 (+18)  93-98        59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6                      S 12 G24     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        S  9         S 10 G21     S 11 G21     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            60           90           
PRECIP DURATION                                 2            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.31         0.66         
LAL                   1            1            2            3            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6600                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 21                      SW 33        
DISPERSION                         80 GOOD                   84 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-241000-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
311 PM EDT SAT OCT 23 2010

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-1)   70-75 (-3)   52-57        73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+14) 38-43 (+20)  93-98        55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      S  9 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        S  8 G15     SE  8 G17    S  9 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            60           90           
PRECIP DURATION                                 2            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.20         0.68         
LAL                   1            1            2            3            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6800                      6100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 18                      SW 32        
DISPERSION                         74 GOOD                   109 VERY GOOD
MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-241000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
311 PM EDT SAT OCT 23 2010

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+6)   71-76 (-1)   52-57        69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+11)  34-39 (+11)  90-95        61-66        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S 10 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  7        S  7         SW  9 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           90           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.09         0.49         
LAL                   1            1            2            3            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6600                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 15                     SW 31        
DISPERSION                         69 GOOD                   73 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-241000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
311 PM EDT SAT OCT 23 2010

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+5)   72-77 (+1)   53-58        70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+7)   37-42 (+12)  92-97        64-69        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6                      SW 10 G20    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  9 G16     S  8 G17     S 11 G21     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            70           90           
PRECIP DURATION                                 2            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.43         0.66         
LAL                   1            1            2            3            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6300                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 23                     SW 33        
DISPERSION                         99 GOOD                   88 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-241000-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
311 PM EDT SAT OCT 23 2010 /211 PM CDT SAT OCT 23 2010/

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+6)   73-78 (-1)   55-60        70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+8)   38-43 (+14)  93-98        63-68        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6 G15                  SW 11 G20    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         S  9 G16     S  8 G18     S 11 G20     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            80           90           
PRECIP DURATION                                 5            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.80         0.81         
LAL                   1            1            2            3            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6400                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 23                      SW 32        
DISPERSION                         105 VERY GOOD             92 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 60.
SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S
TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO LESS THAN 10 MPH
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

