
909 
FNUS54 KMRX 161856
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
300 PM EDT SAT OCT 16 2010

...LOW AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 
TONIGHT...BRINGING CLEAR SKIES AND CHILLY MORNING TEMPERATURES. AN 
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL COMBINE WITH A WEAK COLD FRONT TO 
PRODUCE A FEW SHOWERS TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-171945-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
300 PM EDT SAT OCT 16 2010

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-1)   70-75 (+8)   36-41        72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+1)   23-28 (-8)   87-92        27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        LGT/VAR      SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      5800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  9                      W 10         
DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               35 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS NEAR 70. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 
TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS 
IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S 
TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S 
TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-171945-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
300 PM EDT SAT OCT 16 2010

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-4)   69-74 (+8)   35-40        71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+7)   23-28 (-7)   87-92        27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  5         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      6300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  8                      W  7         
DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    22 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS 
IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S 
TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S 
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-171945-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
300 PM EDT SAT OCT 16 2010

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-8)   69-74 (+6)   35-40        71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (+8)   23-28 (-6)   88-93        27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      6400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  6                      W  6         
DISPERSION                         6 VERY POOR               17 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST 
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. 
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO 
LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO 
LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S 
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-171945-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
300 PM EDT SAT OCT 16 2010

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-3)   72-77 (+4)   37-42        74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-4)   21-26 (-5)   87-92        27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      6300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  6                      W  6         
DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    21 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S 
TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S 
TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-171945-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
300 PM EDT SAT OCT 16 2010

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-2)   71-76 (+4)   36-41        73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-8)   21-26 (-6)   86-91        27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      6500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  6                     W  6         
DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   21 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
MID TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S 
TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S 
TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS NEAR 70. 
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-171945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
300 PM EDT SAT OCT 16 2010

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-1)   72-77 (+7)   37-42        74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-3)   23-28 (-8)   86-91        26-31        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  7                      W  8         
DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   22 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S
TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 
LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S 
TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-171945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
300 PM EDT SAT OCT 16 2010

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-2)   73-78 (+6)   39-44        75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-6)   22-27 (-8)   87-92        27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  6                      W  7         
DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   24 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S 
TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S 
TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS NEAR 70. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-171945-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
300 PM EDT SAT OCT 16 2010 /200 PM CDT SAT OCT 16 2010/

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (0)    75-80 (+4)   40-45        77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-8)   20-25 (-6)   83-88        25-30        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      6200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  6                      W  6         
DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               26 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 50. 
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO 
MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 
TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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