
173 
FNUS54 KMRX 151821
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
221 PM EDT FRI OCT 15 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS 
PRODUCING MAINLY CLEAR SKIES...WITH CHILLY MORNINGS AND MILD 
AFTERNOONS THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.  A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE TOWARD 
THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY PRODUCING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.  


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-161930-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
221 PM EDT FRI OCT 15 2010

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-1)   61-66 (+2)   31-36        68-73        
RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (-5)   30-35 (-4)   86-91        27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 12                     W 15         
DISPERSION                         30 FAIR                   39 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-161930-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
221 PM EDT FRI OCT 15 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-4)   61-66 (+4)   31-36        67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (+2)   24-29 (-9)   86-91        27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5 G20    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 14                     W 14         
DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   30 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-161930-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
221 PM EDT FRI OCT 15 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-6)   65-70 (+7)   33-38        69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (+11)  22-27 (-7)   78-83        24-29        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  5         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  7                      W 10         
DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   21 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S
TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-161930-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
221 PM EDT FRI OCT 15 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-3)   69-74 (+4)   35-40        72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+3)   21-26 (-4)   76-81        23-28        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5 G16     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  7                      NW 10        
DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               28 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S
TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-161930-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
221 PM EDT FRI OCT 15 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (0)    70-75 (+4)   34-39        72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (-3)   21-26 (-2)   77-82        22-27        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  5         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  8                      NW 12        
DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               31 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          5                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 40. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS NEAR 70. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-161930-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
221 PM EDT FRI OCT 15 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-3)   64-69 (+2)   33-38        70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (-5)   26-31 (-2)   83-88        27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  7                     W 13         
DISPERSION                         22 FAIR                   38 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S
TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-161930-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
221 PM EDT FRI OCT 15 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-3)   66-71 (0)    35-40        71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-3)   26-31 (+1)   78-83        26-31        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  5                     W 10         
DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               36 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS NEAR 70.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-161930-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
221 PM EDT FRI OCT 15 2010 /121 PM CDT FRI OCT 15 2010/

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-2)   70-75 (0)    37-42        73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+3)   24-29 (+1)   76-81        25-30        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  6                      W 10         
DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               34 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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