
629 
FNUS54 KMRX 131858
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
258 PM EDT WED OCT 13 2010

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS TONIGHT 
AND EARLY THURSDAY PRODUCING SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. A 
RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA LATE THURSDAY 
THROUGH THE WEEKEND.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-142000-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
258 PM EDT WED OCT 13 2010

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (0)    61-66 (-10)  36-41        60-65        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-11)  33-38 (-13)  73-78        29-34        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  8 G16                  W 10 G24     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  8 G17    W  6         NW 12 G25    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 PM                                  
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.44         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   2            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7000                      7700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 24                     W 30         
DISPERSION                         105 VERY GOOD             149 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-142000-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
258 PM EDT WED OCT 13 2010

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (0)    60-65 (-8)   34-39        59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (-3)   29-34 (-20)  75-80        25-30        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  8 G18                  W 13 G33     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW 10 G21    W  7 G19     NW 16 G34    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           40           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 PM                                  
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.30         0.03         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   2            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6900                      7600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 25                     W 35         
DISPERSION                         90 GOOD                   145 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-142000-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
258 PM EDT WED OCT 13 2010

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (-2)   61-66 (-8)   34-39        60-65        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (-2)   25-30 (-20)  74-79        24-29        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     W 10 G22     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  7        NW  5        NW 10 G23    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 PM                                  
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   2            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6200                      6800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 22                     W 30         
DISPERSION                         57 GEN GOOD               97 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-142000-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
258 PM EDT WED OCT 13 2010

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-1)   65-70 (-8)   35-40        66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-8)   23-28 (-19)  76-81        22-27        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8 G19                 W  8 G21     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  9 G19     LGT/VAR      NW 11 G21    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                
PRECIP END            8 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   2            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      6200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 23                      W 28         
DISPERSION                         66 GOOD                   96 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SUNDAY...CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S
TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-142000-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
258 PM EDT WED OCT 13 2010

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (-1)   65-70 (-9)   34-39        67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-8)   21-26 (-19)  75-80        20-25        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8 G18                 W  8 G21     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  9 G18     LGT/VAR      NW 11 G23    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                
PRECIP END            8 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   2            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      6700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 25                     NW 31        
DISPERSION                         82 GOOD                   118 VERY GOOD
MAX LVORI                          4                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-142000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
258 PM EDT WED OCT 13 2010

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (0)    64-69 (-8)   34-39        63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (-4)   26-31 (-19)  78-83        24-29        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6                      W 10 G24     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  7        LGT/VAR      NW 11 G25    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 PM                                  
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.29         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   2            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6700                      7400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 22                     W 30         
DISPERSION                         101 VERY GOOD             156 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-142000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
258 PM EDT WED OCT 13 2010

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        CLEAR        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-1)   65-70 (-9)   36-41        66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-7)   25-30 (-17)  77-82        24-29        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7                     W  8 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  6        LGT/VAR      NW  9 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                
PRECIP END            8 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   2            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      6500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 23                     NW 28        
DISPERSION                         92 GOOD                   129 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS NEAR 70. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-142000-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
258 PM EDT WED OCT 13 2010 /158 PM CDT WED OCT 13 2010/

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (0)    68-73 (-7)   37-42        70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-10)  23-28 (-19)  78-83        21-26        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  9 G17                  W  8 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  9 G17     LGT/VAR      NW  9 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                
PRECIP END            8 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   2            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 24                      NW 28        
DISPERSION                         85 GOOD                   113 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SUNDAY...CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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