
967 
FNUS54 KMRX 130701
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
301 AM EDT WED OCT 13 2010

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE AND A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SLOWLY EAST 
TODAY...AND PASS EAST OF THE APPALACHIANS BY THURSDAY MORNING.
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED...WITH
DRIER AIR AND SEASONABLY COOLER TEMPERATURES RETURNING FROM THURSDAY 
NIGHT INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-140815-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
301 AM EDT WED OCT 13 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (-6)   51-56 (+1)   61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (+11)  83-88 (-13)  33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  9 G21    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW 13 G23    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           90           20           
PRECIP DURATION       3            8            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.59         0.03         
LAL                   2            3            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      8100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  3                     NW 24        
DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               125 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-140815-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
301 AM EDT WED OCT 13 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (-6)   48-53 (+1)   60-65        
RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (+13)  91-96 (-5)   29-34        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  9 G22    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW 15 G26    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           80           30           
PRECIP DURATION       3            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.33         0.05         
LAL                   2            3            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      8300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  5                     NW 25        
DISPERSION            10 POOR                   118 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO
LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-140815-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
301 AM EDT WED OCT 13 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (-3)   44-49 (-2)   60-65        
RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (+7)   94-99 (-1)   26-31        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  8 G21    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW 13 G23    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           60           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.18         0.01         
LAL                   2            3            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6600                      8000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  3                      NW 21        
DISPERSION            11 POOR                   87 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO
LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-140815-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
301 AM EDT WED OCT 13 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (-4)   46-51 (-2)   64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (+7)   89-94 (-6)   24-29        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  9 G20     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N 11 G21     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           50           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.09         0.00         
LAL                   2            3            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      7200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  3                     N 21         
DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               92 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-140815-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
301 AM EDT WED OCT 13 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (-3)   45-50 (-2)   64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (+6)   91-96 (-5)   22-27        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  9 G21    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW 13 G23    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           40           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.05         0.00         
LAL                   2            3            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7600                      7200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  3                      NW 23        
DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               100 GOOD     
MAX LVORI             4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID
70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-140815-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
301 AM EDT WED OCT 13 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (-5)   50-55 (+1)   64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (+12)  90-95 (-7)   26-31        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  9 G20    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW 12 G22    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           70           20           
PRECIP DURATION       3            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.36         0.02         
LAL                   2            3            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      8000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  3                     NW 22        
DISPERSION            11 POOR                   123 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER
70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-140815-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
301 AM EDT WED OCT 13 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (-4)   49-54 (-1)   65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (+5)   89-94 (-8)   25-30        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW 10 G19    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW 11 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           60           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            2                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.21         0.00         
LAL                   2            3            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      7700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  3                      NW 22        
DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               119 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.SATURDAY...CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-140815-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
301 AM EDT WED OCT 13 2010 /201 AM CDT WED OCT 13 2010/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (-4)   50-55 (0)    67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (+8)   86-91 (-10)  23-28        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N 11 G20     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N 11 G20     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           40           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.13         0.00         
LAL                   2            3            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      7100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  5                     N 22         
DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               113 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...CLEAR. HIGHS NEAR 70. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TG

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