
308 
FNUS54 KMRX 121931
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
331 PM EDT TUE OCT 12 2010

.DISCUSSION...
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE AND COLD FRONT APPROACH TONIGHT AND 
WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL BRING INCREASING RAIN CHANCES TONIGHT THROUGH 
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL COOL TO MORE SEASONAL VALUES FOR 
THE REST OF THE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND...WHILE DRY WEATHER 
RETURNS AFTER EARLY THURSDAY.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-132045-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
331 PM EDT TUE OCT 12 2010

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+4)   71-76 (-6)   50-55        57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  44-49 (+12)  86-91        37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  8 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  9 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           60           90           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.12         0.46         0.03         
LAL                   2            2            3            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6100                      6700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  3                     NW 24        
DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               97 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-132045-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
331 PM EDT TUE OCT 12 2010

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+4)   69-74 (-5)   48-53        57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+3)  46-51 (+14)  90-95        34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  8 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW 12 G21    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           60           90           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.16         0.28         0.05         
LAL                   2            2            3            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      6900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  3                     NW 24        
DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    86 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-132045-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
331 PM EDT TUE OCT 12 2010

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+4)   67-72 (-5)   46-51        57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-1)  46-51 (+12)  91-96        30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  6 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW 10 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           60           70           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.14         0.17         0.01         
LAL                   2            2            3            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6600                      6700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  5                     NW 21        
DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               64 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-132045-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
331 PM EDT TUE OCT 12 2010

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+3)   71-76 (-6)   48-53        62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-1)  43-48 (+10)  90-95        27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  7 G20     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  9 G21     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           60           0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            3            2                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.11         0.09         0.00         
LAL                   2            2            3            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6100                      6200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  5                     N 22         
DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               78 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-132045-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
331 PM EDT TUE OCT 12 2010

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+4)   71-76 (-6)   49-54        62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   45-50 (+13)  88-93        27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  6 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  8 G20     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           60           0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            3            2                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.14         0.06         0.00         
LAL                   2            2            3            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7600                      6500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  5                     N 24         
DISPERSION                         24 FAIR                   90 GOOD      
MAX LVORI                          4                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-132045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
331 PM EDT TUE OCT 12 2010

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+5)   72-77 (-5)   50-55        62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-1)  44-49 (+14)  90-95        30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  7 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W 10 G20     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           60           80           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.13         0.31         0.02         
LAL                   2            2            3            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      6500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  3                     NW 21        
DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   92 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-132045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
331 PM EDT TUE OCT 12 2010

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+2)   73-78 (-5)   49-54        64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   41-46 (+6)   89-94        25-30        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  7        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  8 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           70           0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            3            2                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.10         0.20         0.00         
LAL                   2            2            3            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      6400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  6                     N 22         
DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               97 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 40. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-132045-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
331 PM EDT TUE OCT 12 2010 /231 PM CDT TUE OCT 12 2010/

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+1)   74-79 (-5)   50-55        66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+4)  42-47 (+10)  89-94        23-28        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  9 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW 10 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           60           0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            3            2                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.07         0.13         0.00         
LAL                   2            2            3            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  7                     N 23         
DISPERSION                         25 FAIR                   95 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

