
756 
FNUS54 KMRX 120730
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
330 AM EDT TUE OCT 12 2010

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION WILL WEAKEN...
AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE AND COLD FRONT APPROACH TONIGHT. THIS 
WILL BRING INCREASING RAIN CHANCES THIS EVENING INTO WEDNESDAY 
NIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL COOL TO MORE SEASONAL VALUES FOR THE REST 
OF THE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND...WHILE DRY WEATHER RETURNS AFTER
EARLY THURSDAY.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-130830-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
330 AM EDT TUE OCT 12 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (-3)   50-55 (+4)   73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (-4)   95-100 (+16) 36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6 G15     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           50           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.17         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8300                      7300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 14                     NW  7        
DISPERSION            73 GOOD                   29 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID
50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO
LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S
TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-130830-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
330 AM EDT TUE OCT 12 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (-3)   46-51 (+3)   71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      24-29 (-7)   95-100 (+16) 36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7 G16    LGT/VAR      W  5         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           50           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       2 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.21         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8500                      6800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 13                     NW  8        
DISPERSION            65 GOOD                   26 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER
40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-130830-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
330 AM EDT TUE OCT 12 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (-2)   46-51 (+3)   71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (-6)   95-100 (+13) 34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           40           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.06         0.15         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8700                      7700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  8                     N  8         
DISPERSION            40 FAIR                   32 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S
TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S
TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-130830-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
330 AM EDT TUE OCT 12 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (-3)   48-53 (+2)   75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (-2)   92-97 (+9)   33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           40           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.06         0.13         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8100                      7300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  7                      NE  8        
DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   37 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO
THE SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO
LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER
70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-130830-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
330 AM EDT TUE OCT 12 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (-3)   46-51 (+2)   76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      24-29 (-1)   95-100 (+1)  32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NE  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           40           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.06         0.14         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8700                      8800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  7                     NE  7        
DISPERSION            41 GEN GOOD               40 FAIR      
MAX LVORI             4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER
30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-130830-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
330 AM EDT TUE OCT 12 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (-3)   48-53 (+4)   75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (-2)   95-100 (+10) 33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  5         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           50           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.16         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7300                      6300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 10                      NW  9        
DISPERSION            55 GEN GOOD               40 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER
40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID
60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-130830-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
330 AM EDT TUE OCT 12 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (-2)   50-55 (+2)   75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (-1)   95-100 (+8)  36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           50           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.05         0.13         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6700                      6200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  8                      NW 10        
DISPERSION            39 FAIR                   42 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO
LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-130830-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
330 AM EDT TUE OCT 12 2010 /230 AM CDT TUE OCT 12 2010/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (-3)   51-56 (+1)   77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (+3)   95-100 (+6)  36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          4 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.09         0.11         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7500                      6700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  7                      NE  6        
DISPERSION            40 FAIR                   26 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS NEAR 70. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER
70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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