
268 
FNUS54 KMRX 270742
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
600 AM EDT MON SEP 27 2010

.DISCUSSION...
A STRONG UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL MOVE ACROSS THE TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY 
TODAY AND TONIGHT...CREATING NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND A FEW 
THUNDERSTORMS. DRIER WEATHER THEN RETURNS BY THE MIDDLE OF THE 
WEEK...WITH NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-280800-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
600 AM EDT MON SEP 27 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+1)   49-54 (-5)   65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (-5)   95-100 (0)   56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  8 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  5         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           80           50           
PRECIP DURATION       5            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.66         0.28         0.07         
LAL                   3            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E 12                      W 17         
DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               55 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS TODAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY 
RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE UPPER 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. NORTHEAST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S
TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHEAST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-280800-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT MON SEP 27 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (+1)   48-53 (-5)   66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      70-75 (-7)   95-100 (0)   52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          70           50           
PRECIP DURATION       5            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.84         0.24         0.06         
LAL                   3            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 12                      W 16         
DISPERSION            9 POOR                    42 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS TODAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY 
RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. LIGHT 
WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S 
TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S
TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-280800-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
600 AM EDT MON SEP 27 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (+1)   50-55 (-5)   67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (-11)  93-98 (-4)   50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           60           30           
PRECIP DURATION       5            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.36         0.09         0.04         
LAL                   3            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 12                     NW 12        
DISPERSION            12 POOR                   25 FAIR      

REMARKS...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS TODAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY 
RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE LOWER 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO LOWER 80S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO 
LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO 
LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO 
LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-280800-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT MON SEP 27 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (-2)   51-56 (-5)   72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (-9)   87-92 (-9)   41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7        NW  5        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           50           30           
PRECIP DURATION       5            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.05         0.03         
LAL                   3            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 12                      NW 12        
DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               32 FAIR      

REMARKS...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS TODAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY 
RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO
LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 
LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-280800-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT MON SEP 27 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (-1)   51-56 (-5)   71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (-12)  91-96 (-6)   43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           50           30           
PRECIP DURATION       5            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.20         0.04         0.03         
LAL                   3            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 12                     NW 13        
DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               35 FAIR      
MAX LVORI             4                         4            

REMARKS...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS TODAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY 
RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH 
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO 
LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 
LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-280800-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
600 AM EDT MON SEP 27 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (+1)   50-55 (-5)   69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (-9)   95-100 (+1)  49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           70           40           
PRECIP DURATION       5            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.56         0.20         0.06         
LAL                   3            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E 12                      W 14         
DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               50 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS TODAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY 
RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 50. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S 
TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S 
TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S 
TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-280800-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
600 AM EDT MON SEP 27 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (0)    51-56 (-5)   70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (-7)   89-94 (-7)   44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           60           30           
PRECIP DURATION       5            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.31         0.17         0.05         
LAL                   3            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 12                      NW 13        
DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               40 FAIR      

REMARKS...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS TODAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY 
RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. 
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS NEAR 80. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO 
LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 
LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-280800-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
600 AM EDT MON SEP 27 2010 /500 AM CDT MON SEP 27 2010/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (-2)   52-57 (-5)   73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (0)    84-89 (-12)  39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  6                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7 G15    NW  7 G15    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           40           20           
PRECIP DURATION       5            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.04         0.01         
LAL                   3            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 12                      NW 12        
DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   39 FAIR      

REMARKS...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS TODAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY 
RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 50. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTH 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH 
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS NEAR 80. 
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 
TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS NEAR 70. 
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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