
177 
FNUS54 KMRX 260823
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
600 AM EDT SUN SEP 26 2010

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL STRENGTHEN OVER THE TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY 
TODAY...CREATING NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS 
THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. SOME OF THE RAINFALL THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT MAY 
BE HEAVY AT TIMES...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE APPALACHIAN MOUNTAINS. DRIER 
WEATHER THEN RETURNS BY MID WEEK...WITH NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES 
EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-270815-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
600 AM EDT SUN SEP 26 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (-7)   54-59 (-1)   67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (+9)   95-100 (+13) 66-71        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NE  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  8 G16    NE  7 G15    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           80           80           
PRECIP DURATION       5            5            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.57         1.07         0.50         
LAL                   3            3            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      2600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E 12                      S  9         
DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               5 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...SOME THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT MAY PRODUCE 
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 
LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO 
MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-270815-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT SUN SEP 26 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (-6)   54-59 (0)    66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (+1)   95-100 (+9)  66-71        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           90           80           
PRECIP DURATION       5            5            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         1.68         1.86         1.01         
LAL                   3            3            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      3100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 13                      S  9         
DISPERSION            10 POOR                   3 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...SOME THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT MAY PRODUCE 
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 
40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S 
TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 
50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO 
MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-270815-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
600 AM EDT SUN SEP 26 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (-6)   55-60 (-1)   66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (-1)   95-100 (+9)  64-69        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           90           80           
PRECIP DURATION       5            5            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         1.10         0.79         0.65         
LAL                   3            3            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 12                      S  9         
DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               6 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...SOME THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT MAY PRODUCE 
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S 
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE MID 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 
UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO 
LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S 
TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-270815-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT SUN SEP 26 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (-6)   57-62 (-2)   70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (0)    95-100 (+9)  61-66        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           90           80           
PRECIP DURATION       5            5            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.74         0.55         0.52         
LAL                   3            3            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 12                     SW  9        
DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   11 POOR      

REMARKS...SOME THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT MAY PRODUCE 
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S 
TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S 
TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO
LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-270815-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT SUN SEP 26 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (-6)   57-62 (-1)   70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (+6)   95-100 (+3)  61-66        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          80           
PRECIP DURATION       5            5            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         1.34         0.90         0.69         
LAL                   3            3            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 12                      SW  9        
DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   10 POOR      
MAX LVORI             4                         6            

REMARKS...SOME THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT MAY PRODUCE 
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO
MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S 
TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO
LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-270815-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
600 AM EDT SUN SEP 26 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (-7)   56-61 (-1)   70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (+3)   95-100 (+11) 62-67        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           90           80           
PRECIP DURATION       5            5            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.84         1.02         0.55         
LAL                   3            3            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      2600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 12                     SW  9        
DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   9 POOR       

REMARKS...SOME THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT MAY PRODUCE 
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 50S. 
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S 
TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO
LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-270815-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
600 AM EDT SUN SEP 26 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (-6)   58-63 (0)    69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (+3)   95-100 (+10) 64-69        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NE  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  7 G15     N  6         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           80           80           
PRECIP DURATION       5            5            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.29         0.34         0.38         
LAL                   3            3            2            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      2600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE 13                     SW  9        
DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   11 POOR      

REMARKS...SOME THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT MAY PRODUCE 
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S 
TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S 
TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-270815-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
600 AM EDT SUN SEP 26 2010 /500 AM CDT SUN SEP 26 2010/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (-5)   58-63 (-3)   69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (+3)   95-100 (+13) 61-66        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  8 G16    NE  7        NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           90           70           
PRECIP DURATION       5            5            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.23         0.22         0.27         
LAL                   3            3            2            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      3300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 12                      NW  9        
DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   17 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...SOME THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT MAY PRODUCE 
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS NEAR 80. 
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID TO 
UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

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