
182 
FNUS54 KMRX 251933
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
333 PM EDT SAT SEP 25 2010

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY JUST EAST AND SOUTH OF THE  
SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION TONIGHT WITH A FEW SHOWER AND POSSIBLE 
THUNDERSTORM INTO THE EVENING HOURS. THE COVERAGE OF SHOWERS WILL 
INCREASE AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT...AS A STRONG UPPER LEVEL LOW 
DEVELOPS OVER THE TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY. THIS UPPER LOW WILL BRING 
A COOL AND WET PATTERN FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY...WITH NEAR NORMAL 
TEMPERATURES EXPECTED FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK.

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-262030-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
333 PM EDT SAT SEP 25 2010

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (-4)   66-71 (-9)   53-58        67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-5)   63-68 (+16)  95-100       63-68        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  7        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  7        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           70           80           80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            5            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          12 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.38         0.91         0.50         
LAL                   1            2            1            2            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E 12                      SW 20        
DISPERSION                         26 FAIR                   35 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S
TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-262030-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
333 PM EDT SAT SEP 25 2010

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (-3)   64-69 (-9)   53-58        66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-4)   67-72 (+12)  95-100       64-69        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  7        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  7        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           80           80           80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            8            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.24         1.13         1.55         1.01         
LAL                   1            2            1            2            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      6600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 12                     SW 15        
DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               51 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S
TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-262030-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
333 PM EDT SAT SEP 25 2010

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (-2)   66-71 (-7)   54-59        67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-1)   66-71 (+9)   95-100       62-67        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  7        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           80           80           80           
PRECIP DURATION       2            5            8            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.19         1.24         0.78         0.65         
LAL                   1            2            1            2            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      6300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 12                      SW 12        
DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               33 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. LIGHT WINDS
BECOMING NORTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-262030-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
333 PM EDT SAT SEP 25 2010

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (-1)   71-76 (-6)   57-62        70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (-8)   61-66 (+8)   94-99        58-63        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           80           80           80           
PRECIP DURATION       2            5            8            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.23         0.67         0.54         0.52         
LAL                   1            2            1            2            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 12                     SW 13        
DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               32 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-262030-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
333 PM EDT SAT SEP 25 2010

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (0)    71-76 (-5)   57-62        70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-6)   66-71 (+15)  93-98        59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  5        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           80           80           80           
PRECIP DURATION       2            5            8            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.34         1.47         0.89         0.69         
LAL                   1            2            1            2            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      6200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 12                     SW 12        
DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   41 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-262030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
333 PM EDT SAT SEP 25 2010

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (-3)   69-74 (-8)   56-61        71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-5)   59-64 (+9)   94-99        58-63        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   E  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  6        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           70           80           80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            8            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.66         0.89         0.55         
LAL                   1            2            1            2            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E 12                      SW 15        
DISPERSION                         25 FAIR                   25 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-262030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
333 PM EDT SAT SEP 25 2010

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (-4)   71-76 (-6)   57-62        70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+1)   55-60 (+7)   93-98        59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           70           80           80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            5            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.22         0.33         0.38         
LAL                   1            2            1            2            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      2900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 12                     SW 12        
DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               17 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER TO MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST LESS THAN
10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-262030-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
333 PM EDT SAT SEP 25 2010 /233 PM CDT SAT SEP 25 2010/

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (-3)   73-78 (-5)   58-63        72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (-6)   53-58 (+5)   93-98        55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           70           80           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            5            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.21         0.22         0.27         
LAL                   1            2            1            2            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      3000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 12                     W  7         
DISPERSION                         23 FAIR                   12 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS NEAR 80.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TD

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