
726 
FNUS54 KMRX 250741
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
600 AM EDT SAT SEP 25 2010

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY MOVE EAST ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 
REGION TODAY...WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS 
EXPECTED INTO THE EVENING HOURS. THE COVERAGE OF SHOWERS WILL 
INCREASE AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT...AS A STRONG UPPER LEVEL LOW 
DEVELOPS OVER THE TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY. THIS UPPER LOW WILL BRING 
A COOL AND WET PATTERN FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY...WITH NEAR NORMAL 
TEMPERATURES EXPECTED FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-260800-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
600 AM EDT SAT SEP 25 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (-6)   53-58 (-5)   66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (+5)   87-92 (-6)   63-68        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        N  5         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           40           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.08         0.39         
LAL                   3            3            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 12                     E 12         
DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   21 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 50S. 
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S 
TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S 
TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 
50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-260800-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT SAT SEP 25 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (-6)   54-59 (-3)   64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (+13)  90-95 (-1)   70-75        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           60           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.21         0.83         
LAL                   3            3            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 13                      SE 12        
DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 
50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S 
TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S 
TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-260800-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
600 AM EDT SAT SEP 25 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (-4)   55-60 (-3)   66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (+11)  91-96 (+4)   64-69        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           60           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.15         0.66         
LAL                   3            3            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      S 12         
DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               18 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 
40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S 
TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S 
TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-260800-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT SAT SEP 25 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (-6)   57-62 (-3)   71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (+13)  90-95 (+4)   60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         N  5         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           50           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.15         0.56         
LAL                   3            3            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 12                     SW 12        
DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   28 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S
TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S 
TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S 
TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-260800-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT SAT SEP 25 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (-7)   56-61 (-2)   71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (+13)  92-97 (+3)   63-68        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           60           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.16         0.74         
LAL                   3            3            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 12                     SW 12        
DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   30 FAIR      
MAX LVORI             4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S
TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S 
TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-260800-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
600 AM EDT SAT SEP 25 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (-6)   55-60 (-4)   69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (+8)   89-94 (-2)   62-67        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           50           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.11         0.60         
LAL                   3            3            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 12                     E 12         
DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   25 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 
50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S 
TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-260800-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
600 AM EDT SAT SEP 25 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (-5)   57-62 (-4)   72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (+2)   88-93 (+2)   56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           40           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.07         0.27         
LAL                   3            3            2            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 12                     NE 12        
DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   36 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 
50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S
TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 50S. HIGHS NEAR 80. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-260800-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
600 AM EDT SAT SEP 25 2010 /500 AM CDT SAT SEP 25 2010/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (-7)   59-64 (-4)   73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (+13)  91-96 (+8)   56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  6                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         N  6         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           40           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.10         0.34         
LAL                   3            3            2            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 12                     NE 12        
DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   36 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 
50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 
50S. HIGHS NEAR 80. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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