
304 
FNUS54 KMRX 240745
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
600 AM EDT FRI SEP 24 2010

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHEAST WILL BRING ANOTHER UNSEASONABLY HOT 
DAY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION TODAY...BEFORE A WEAK 
COLD FRONT APPROACHES TONIGHT. THIS COLD FRONT WILL BRING A FEW 
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ON SATURDAY...WITH RAIN CHANCES INCREASING 
ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY AS A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPS OVER 
THE TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY. A COOL AND WET PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO 
CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEK...AS THIS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LINGERS NEAR 
THE TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-250815-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
600 AM EDT FRI SEP 24 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      84-89 (-1)   58-63 (0)    76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (-5)   87-92 (-5)   40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G16                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G16    LGT/VAR      NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           50           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       12 AM        CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.02         
LAL                   1            3            3            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6700                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     W 13         
DISPERSION            71 GOOD                   39 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 
50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S 
TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTH WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 
80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-250815-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT FRI SEP 24 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (0)    58-63 (0)    75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (-5)   86-91 (-2)   43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           40           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       12 AM        CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.04         
LAL                   1            2            3            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7600                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     W 15         
DISPERSION            73 GOOD                   38 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 
50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE 
EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S 
TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S 
TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHEAST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-250815-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
600 AM EDT FRI SEP 24 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (+1)   59-64 (0)    75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (-3)   86-91 (+4)   44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           50           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       12 AM        CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.03         
LAL                   1            2            3            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7400                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     W 12         
DISPERSION            66 GOOD                   26 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 
40S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S 
TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S 
TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-250815-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT FRI SEP 24 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      85-90 (-1)   60-65 (0)    81-86        
RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (-3)   88-93 (+6)   39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           50           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       12 AM        CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.03         
LAL                   1            2            3            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7200                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     NW 12        
DISPERSION            76 GOOD                   38 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S 
TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 
50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHEAST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 
80S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-250815-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT FRI SEP 24 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      85-90 (-1)   58-63 (0)    81-86        
RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (0)    89-94 (+3)   39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           50           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       12 AM        CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.03         
LAL                   1            2            3            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7800                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     NW 12        
DISPERSION            83 GOOD                   37 FAIR      
MAX LVORI             3                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 
50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. EAST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHEAST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-250815-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
600 AM EDT FRI SEP 24 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      86-91 (+1)   60-65 (0)    79-84        
RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (-5)   88-93 (+1)   40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      W  5         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           50           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       12 AM        CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.03         
LAL                   1            2            3            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6400                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     W 12         
DISPERSION            73 GOOD                   37 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S 
TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 
50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 
80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 
80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-250815-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
600 AM EDT FRI SEP 24 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      86-91 (-1)   61-66 (0)    80-85        
RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (-5)   87-92 (0)    40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           50           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.02         
LAL                   1            3            3            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6200                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     NW 12        
DISPERSION            76 GOOD                   35 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 60.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 
80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-250815-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
600 AM EDT FRI SEP 24 2010 /500 AM CDT FRI SEP 24 2010/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      89-94 (0)    63-68 (0)    82-87        
RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (-2)   82-87 (+4)   37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      N  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           50           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.02         
LAL                   1            3            3            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6600                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     NW 12        
DISPERSION            82 GOOD                   43 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH 
SHIFTING TO THE WEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 
80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 
80S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

