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FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1019 AM EDT THU SEP 16 2010

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SLOWLY SOUTHEAST TOWARD THE TENNESSEE 
VALLEY AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS TODAY... PRODUCING A CHANCE OF 
SHOWERS...AND POSSIBLY A FEW THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY LATER TODAY AND 
TONIGHT. HOWEVER...DRY WEATHER CAN BE EXPECTED AGAIN THIS 
WEEKEND.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-171530-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
1019 AM EDT THU SEP 16 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (-2)   59-64 (+2)   77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (+6)   88-93 (+11)  36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G18                 W  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 11 G20    SW  7        NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.09         0.00         
LAL                   3            3            1            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8100                      7300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 26                     W 17         
DISPERSION            139 VERY GOOD             78 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. LIGHT WINDS
BECOMING NORTH LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-171530-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1019 AM EDT THU SEP 16 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (0)    55-60 (+3)   75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (-1)   89-94 (+9)   39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6 G15                 W  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G17    SW  7        NW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.03         0.00         
LAL                   2            3            1            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8700                      7400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 20                     W 20         
DISPERSION            101 VERY GOOD             77 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 90S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S
TO UPPER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-171530-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
1019 AM EDT THU SEP 16 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (-2)   56-61 (+4)   74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (0)    87-92 (+7)   35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G16                 W  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G19    S  7         NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.03         0.00         
LAL                   2            2            1            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7800                      7000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 21                     W 15         
DISPERSION            84 GOOD                   52 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
70S TO 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-171530-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1019 AM EDT THU SEP 16 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (-4)   59-64 (+6)   82-87        
RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (+6)   82-87 (-2)   32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6                      SW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G17    S  5         NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   2            2            1            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7900                      6700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 20                     W 13         
DISPERSION            99 GOOD                   49 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 90S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-171530-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
1019 AM EDT THU SEP 16 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (-3)   57-62 (+6)   80-85        
RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (+5)   85-90 (-3)   34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        LGT/VAR      NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   2            2            1            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8400                      6900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     W 13         
DISPERSION            94 GOOD                   50 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI             4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S
TO UPPER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO UPPER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-171530-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
1019 AM EDT THU SEP 16 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      84-89 (0)    59-64 (+4)   79-84        
RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (-2)   89-94 (+5)   36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5 G16                 W  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 11 G20    SW  5        NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.05         0.00         
LAL                   3            3            1            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7400                      7000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 22                     W 17         
DISPERSION            114 VERY GOOD             82 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 80S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-171530-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
1019 AM EDT THU SEP 16 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      84-89 (-1)   61-66 (+4)   82-87        
RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (+3)   85-90 (+3)   32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G18                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 11 G21    SW  5        NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.04         0.00         
LAL                   3            3            1            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6800                      6800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 25                     W 14         
DISPERSION            120 VERY GOOD             68 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 80S
TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S
TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
80S TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-171530-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
1019 AM EDT THU SEP 16 2010 /919 AM CDT THU SEP 16 2010/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      86-91 (-2)   62-67 (+3)   84-89        
RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (+8)   84-89 (+5)   33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G15                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G17    LGT/VAR      NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.03         0.00         
LAL                   3            3            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7500                      6500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 21                     W 14         
DISPERSION            112 VERY GOOD             62 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO MID 90S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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