
822 
FNUS54 KMRX 210713
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
600 AM EDT SAT AUG 21 2010

.DISCUSSION...
A WARM FRONT WILL SLOWLY MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 
TODAY...BRINGING A RETURN TO A TROPICAL LIKE AIR MASS. AS A RESULT 
OF THE VERY MOIST AIR MASS...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS 
TODAY AND TONIGHT WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY 
RAINFALL IN SOME AREAS. A COLD FRONT WILL THEN MOVE ACROSS THE 
TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY ON SUNDAY...BRINGING A BETTER COVERAGE OF 
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-220745-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
600 AM EDT SAT AUG 21 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      84-89 (-1)   67-72 (+3)   82-87        
RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (+7)   92-97 (+2)   53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      SW  6 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G15     LGT/VAR      SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           50           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.10         0.49         
LAL                   3            4            4            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      6200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     NW  9        
DISPERSION            35 FAIR                   32 FAIR      

REMARKS...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND SUNDAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTH 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTH 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTH WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-220745-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT SAT AUG 21 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      83-88 (-1)   66-71 (+2)   81-86        
RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (+9)   95-100 (+5)  52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  5                     SW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           50           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.05         0.49         
LAL                   3            3            4            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6600                      6400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  7                      NW  9        
DISPERSION            23 FAIR                   28 FAIR      

REMARKS...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND SUNDAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTH WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-220745-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
600 AM EDT SAT AUG 21 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (0)    66-71 (0)    81-86        
RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (+4)   94-99 (+4)   52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           50           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.04         0.66         
LAL                   3            3            4            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      6100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  6                     N  7         
DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               17 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND SUNDAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 90S. NORTH 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 90S. NORTH 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO 
UPPER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-220745-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT SAT AUG 21 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      84-89 (-3)   68-73 (0)    85-90        
RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (+5)   95-100 (+3)  53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           50           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.04         0.52         
LAL                   3            3            4            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  6                     N  6         
DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               21 FAIR      

REMARKS...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND SUNDAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTH 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. 
LIGHT WINDS. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTH 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTHEAST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-220745-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT SAT AUG 21 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      83-88 (-2)   67-72 (0)    83-88        
RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (+5)   93-98 (+1)   53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           50           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.21         0.04         0.52         
LAL                   3            3            4            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6300                      6200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  6                      N  8         
DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               27 FAIR      
MAX LVORI             4                         4            

REMARKS...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND SUNDAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE MI D60S TO LOWER 70S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. 
LIGHT WINDS. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. LIGHT 
WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTHEAST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S 
TO LOWER 90S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-220745-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
600 AM EDT SAT AUG 21 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      86-91 (0)    68-73 (+2)   85-90        
RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (+5)   93-98 (+3)   50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         LGT/VAR      W  5         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           50           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.07         0.60         
LAL                   3            4            4            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      6100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  8                      NW  7        
DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   28 FAIR      

REMARKS...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND SUNDAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTH 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. 
LIGHT WINDS. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. LIGHT 
WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 
90S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S 
TO LOWER 90S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. EAST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-220745-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
600 AM EDT SAT AUG 21 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      86-91 (0)    69-74 (+1)   85-90        
RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (+1)   92-97 (+2)   53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           50           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.13         0.54         
LAL                   3            4            4            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     NW  6        
DISPERSION            39 FAIR                   20 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND SUNDAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTHEAST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. 
LIGHT WINDS. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 
90S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S 
TO LOWER 90S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S 
TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-220745-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
600 AM EDT SAT AUG 21 2010 /500 AM CDT SAT AUG 21 2010/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      87-92 (-2)   70-75 (0)    88-93        
RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (+7)   90-95 (-2)   52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           50           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.11         0.38         
LAL                   3            4            4            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5700                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  8                     NW  6        
DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   24 FAIR      

REMARKS...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND SUNDAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 70. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTH 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 70. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 
90S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS AROUND 90. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S 
TO LOWER 90S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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