
325 
FNUS54 KMRX 200751
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
600 AM EDT FRI AUG 20 2010

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY JUST SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TENNESSEE BORDER 
WILL HELP TO TRIGGER A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS 
SOUTHEAST TENNESSEE TODAY AND TONIGHT. THESE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS WILL THEN SPREAD NORTH ACROSS THE REST OF THE REGION 
ON SATURDAY. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE TENNESSEE RIVER 
VALLEY ON SUNDAY...BRINGING ANOTHER GOOD CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-210730-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
600 AM EDT FRI AUG 20 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      86-91 (+12)  65-70 (+1)   83-88        
RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-21)  84-89 (-12)  47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  5         LGT/VAR      S  7         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.06         
LAL                   1            1            3            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6800                      6900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E 10                      S  9         
DISPERSION            41 GEN GOOD               39 FAIR      

REMARKS...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY MAY PRODUCE 
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. LIGHT 
WINDS. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S 
TO LOWER 90S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 
90S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-210730-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT FRI AUG 20 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      84-89 (+12)  64-69 (+1)   81-86        
RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (-24)  87-92 (-9)   49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  8 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7        SE  7 G16    S  9 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.09         
LAL                   1            1            4            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6400                      7000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 10                     S  9         
DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   34 FAIR      

REMARKS...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY MAY PRODUCE 
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. 
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 
90S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. 
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-210730-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
600 AM EDT FRI AUG 20 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      83-88 (+10)  65-70 (+1)   80-85        
RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (-22)  89-94 (-6)   54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  7 G16    S  5         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.43         
LAL                   3            3            4            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6200                      6200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  7                      S  6         
DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               16 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH SUNDAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 90S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO 
LOWER 90S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO 
UPPER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-210730-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT FRI AUG 20 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      87-92 (+7)   67-72 (+1)   83-88        
RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (-18)  86-91 (-9)   55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  5        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.04         0.67         
LAL                   3            3            4            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      6600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  6                     S  9         
DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               36 FAIR      

REMARKS...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH SUNDAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
80S TO LOWER 90S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTHEAST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
80S TO LOWER 90S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-210730-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT FRI AUG 20 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      85-90 (+6)   66-71 (+1)   82-87        
RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (-16)  86-91 (-10)  59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         LGT/VAR      SE  5        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.04         0.84         
LAL                   3            3            4            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6800                      6700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  7                     SE  9        
DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   36 FAIR      
MAX LVORI             4                         4            

REMARKS...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH SUNDAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
HIGHS IN THE 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S 
TO LOWER 90S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTHEAST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S 
TO LOWER 90S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-210730-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
600 AM EDT FRI AUG 20 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      87-92 (+11)  67-72 (+1)   84-89        
RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-20)  86-91 (-9)   48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  6         SE  5        S  6         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     10           10           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.14         
LAL                   1            1            4            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6200                      6700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E 10                      S  7         
DISPERSION            42 GEN GOOD               33 FAIR      

REMARKS...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH SUNDAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. LIGHT 
WINDS. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
80S TO LOWER 90S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 
90S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
80S TO LOWER 90S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-210730-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
600 AM EDT FRI AUG 20 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      87-92 (+6)   67-72 (+1)   85-90        
RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (-16)  84-89 (-10)  50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.32         
LAL                   3            3            4            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  9                      S 10         
DISPERSION            35 FAIR                   37 FAIR      

REMARKS...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH SUNDAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S
TO LOWER 90S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 
90S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
80S TO LOWER 90S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-210730-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
600 AM EDT FRI AUG 20 2010 /500 AM CDT FRI AUG 20 2010/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      89-94 (+5)   69-74 (+1)   86-91        
RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (-14)  84-89 (-10)  52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.04         0.41         
LAL                   3            3            4            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      5800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  6                      S 10         
DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   42 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH SUNDAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 70. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
80S TO LOWER 90S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S TO MID 
90S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS AROUND 90. EAST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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