
823 
FNUS54 KMRX 170714
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
314 AM EDT TUE AUG 17 2010

.DISCUSSION...
FRONTAL BOUNDARY STALLED ACROSS THE EAST TENNESSEE VALLEY.  THIS 
WILL PRODUCE SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS 
ESPECIALLY OVER SOUTHEAST TENNESSEE AND THE SMOKYS.
    


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-180815-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
314 AM EDT TUE AUG 17 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (-2)   65-70 (-2)   79-84        
RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (-1)   95-100 (+4)  61-66        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           70           
PRECIP DURATION       2            3            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.29         0.27         0.84         
LAL                   4            4            4            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7700                      6800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  5                      SW 14        
DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   58 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-180815-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
314 AM EDT TUE AUG 17 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (0)    64-69 (-2)   77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (0)    95-100 (+3)  60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           70           
PRECIP DURATION       2            3            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.59         0.23         0.79         
LAL                   4            4            4            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7900                      6900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  7                      SW  9        
DISPERSION            32 FAIR                   33 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH LESS
THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-180815-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
314 AM EDT TUE AUG 17 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (+3)   64-69 (-2)   78-83        
RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (+1)   95-100 (+2)  55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           60           60           
PRECIP DURATION       2            3            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.69         0.14         0.62         
LAL                   4            4            4            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7400                      6500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  5                     SW 10        
DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               30 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 90S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 90S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-180815-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
314 AM EDT TUE AUG 17 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (-2)   67-72 (-1)   83-88        
RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (+6)   92-97 (-1)   53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           50           60           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.50         0.11         0.53         
LAL                   4            3            4            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7000                      6200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  5                     SW 12        
DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               40 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-180815-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
314 AM EDT TUE AUG 17 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (-2)   67-72 (+1)   83-88        
RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (+5)   92-97 (-1)   53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           50           60           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.56         0.11         0.51         
LAL                   5            3            4            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8000                      7000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  5                      SW  9        
DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   38 FAIR      
MAX LVORI             4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS NEAR 70. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-180815-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
314 AM EDT TUE AUG 17 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      84-89 (-2)   67-72 (-1)   82-87        
RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (+3)   94-99 (+3)   56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           70           
PRECIP DURATION       2            3            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.50         0.23         0.78         
LAL                   4            4            4            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6800                      6100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  6                     SW 12        
DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   47 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-180815-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
314 AM EDT TUE AUG 17 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      84-89 (0)    67-72 (-3)   83-88        
RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (+4)   92-97 (0)    56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           70           
PRECIP DURATION       2            3            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.34         0.17         0.70         
LAL                   4            4            4            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6600                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  7                     SW 12        
DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   47 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS NEAR 70. LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO MID 90S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S
TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-180815-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
314 AM EDT TUE AUG 17 2010 /214 AM CDT TUE AUG 17 2010/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      85-90 (-2)   68-73 (-3)   85-90        
RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (+5)   93-98 (+2)   54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           50           60           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.38         0.09         0.54         
LAL                   4            3            4            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6600                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  5                     SW 12        
DISPERSION            23 FAIR                   50 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S TO MID 90S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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