
310 
FNUS54 KMRX 201920
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
320 PM EDT THU MAY 20 2010

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAKENING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHEAST THROUGH THE OHIO 
RIVER VALLEY THROUGH SATURDAY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE 
EAST INTO THE AREA LATE TONIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-212030-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
320 PM EDT THU MAY 20 2010

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+6)   71-76 (-3)   56-61        73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-7)   52-57 (+16)  89-94        49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  5                     SW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         SE  5        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           90           70           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.22         0.25         0.06         
LAL                   3            5            5            3            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5900                      6300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 17                      SW 15        
DISPERSION                         56 GEN GOOD               56 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID
80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-212030-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
320 PM EDT THU MAY 20 2010

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+5)   70-75 (-3)   54-59        71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-6)   52-57 (+17)  92-97        48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  5                     SW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        S  5         SE  6        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           70           70           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.19         0.19         0.07         
LAL                   3            5            4            3            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5900                      6400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 17                      SW  9        
DISPERSION                         48 GEN GOOD               30 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO
LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID
80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-212030-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
320 PM EDT THU MAY 20 2010

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+8)   70-75 (-3)   56-61        72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-4)   53-58 (+16)  89-94        46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  6                     W  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         S  7         W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           80           50           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.45         0.18         0.02         
LAL                   4            5            4            3            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5900                      6400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 18                      SW 15        
DISPERSION                         46 GEN GOOD               43 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO
MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID
80S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-212030-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
320 PM EDT THU MAY 20 2010

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+7)   74-79 (-3)   58-63        77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+1)   54-59 (+19)  93-98        52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  5                     SW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         S  6         W  5         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           80           40           20           
PRECIP DURATION       2            8            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.19         0.49         0.14         0.01         
LAL                   4            5            3            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      6300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 22                      W 16         
DISPERSION                         72 GOOD                   59 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER
60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. NORTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO
MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO
MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
70S TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-212030-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
320 PM EDT THU MAY 20 2010

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+7)   74-79 (-3)   58-63        77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (0)    56-61 (+21)  91-96        54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  5                     SW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         SE  5        W  5         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           80           50           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.55         0.15         0.01         
LAL                   4            5            3            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      6300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 22                      W 15         
DISPERSION                         70 GOOD                   52 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER
60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO
MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO
MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-212030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
320 PM EDT THU MAY 20 2010

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+7)   72-77 (-4)   57-62        76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-7)   55-60 (+19)  91-96        44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         LGT/VAR      W  5         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           70           70           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.26         0.21         0.05         
LAL                   4            5            4            3            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      6300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 16                      SW 15        
DISPERSION                         57 GEN GOOD               61 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
NEAR 60. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO
MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID
80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-212030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
320 PM EDT THU MAY 20 2010

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+8)   73-78 (-4)   58-63        79-84        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-1)   56-61 (+19)  95-100       44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  5                     SW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         S  5         W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           90           60           20           
PRECIP DURATION       2            8            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.38         0.19         0.01         
LAL                   5            5            4            3            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      6200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 21                      SW 18        
DISPERSION                         79 GOOD                   78 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 60. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID
80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO
MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-212030-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
320 PM EDT THU MAY 20 2010 /220 PM CDT THU MAY 20 2010/

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+8)   75-80 (-5)   59-64        80-85        
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (+2)   56-61 (+22)  93-98        41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6                      SW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         S  5         W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           80           40           20           
PRECIP DURATION       5            8            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.39         0.45         0.09         0.01         
LAL                   5            5            3            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      6200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 21                      W 20         
DISPERSION                         79 GOOD                   85 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID
60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO UPPER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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