
917 
FNUS54 KMRX 180645
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
245 AM EDT TUE MAY 18 2010

.DISCUSSION...
AS A COOL FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION...A FEW SHOWERS AND EVEN A 
STRAY THUNDERSTORM WILL LINGER OVER THE AREA TODAY.  WILL BE 
BETWEEN WEATHER SYSTEMS TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY...BUT WILL RETURN TO 
AN UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN BY THE END OF THE WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-190745-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
245 AM EDT TUE MAY 18 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (-6)   47-52 (-6)   65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (-14)  86-91 (-3)   43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         LGT/VAR      NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.22         0.03         0.02         
LAL                   3            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     W 10         
DISPERSION            36 FAIR                   28 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-190745-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
245 AM EDT TUE MAY 18 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (-4)   46-51 (-6)   64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (-19)  87-92 (0)    43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G15                 W  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G16     W  5         NW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.03         0.02         
LAL                   3            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 18                      W 13         
DISPERSION            40 FAIR                   25 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-190745-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
245 AM EDT TUE MAY 18 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (-5)   46-51 (-6)   66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-19)  82-87 (+1)   38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  8 G16                  W  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G19     LGT/VAR      NW  8        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   3            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      5800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 21                      W 13         
DISPERSION            53 GEN GOOD               30 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO
MID 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO
MID 80S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-190745-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
245 AM EDT TUE MAY 18 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (-4)   47-52 (-7)   70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-20)  82-87 (+1)   36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6 G15                  W  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G18     LGT/VAR      NW  8        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   2            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      5600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 21                      NW 13        
DISPERSION            54 GEN GOOD               38 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID
50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID
80S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID
80S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-190745-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
245 AM EDT TUE MAY 18 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (-5)   47-52 (-7)   69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (-19)  82-87 (+4)   37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  7 G16                  NW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G18     NW  5        NW  8        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   2            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7100                      6100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 22                      NW 14        
DISPERSION            94 GOOD                   44 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI             3                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID
50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST LESS
THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. EAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-190745-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
245 AM EDT TUE MAY 18 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (-5)   48-53 (-6)   67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-16)  86-91 (-2)   40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6 G15                 SW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G17     LGT/VAR      NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.02         0.01         
LAL                   3            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 18                      W 12         
DISPERSION            48 GEN GOOD               30 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 50. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID
80S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID
80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-190745-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
245 AM EDT TUE MAY 18 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (-7)   48-53 (-7)   70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-16)  83-88 (+1)   37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  7 G16                  W  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G17     LGT/VAR      NW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   3            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 20                      W 13         
DISPERSION            53 GEN GOOD               40 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID
50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO
MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO
MID 80S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-190745-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
245 AM EDT TUE MAY 18 2010 /145 AM CDT TUE MAY 18 2010/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (-6)   49-54 (-6)   73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (-14)  82-87 (+2)   33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      W  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10         LGT/VAR      NW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                              
PRECIP END                                               
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 18                      NW 14        
DISPERSION            52 GEN GOOD               50 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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