
961 
FNUS54 KMRX 150753
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
353 AM EDT SAT MAY 15 2010

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK COOL FRONT WILL MOVE SLOWLY SOUTH ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY 
TODAY...AND WILL SERVE AS A FOCUS FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS...ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION. THE CHANCE 
FOR RAIN WILL BE A LITTLE HIGHER ACROSS THE CUMBERLAND 
PLATEAU...SOUTHERN VALLEY AND SOUTHERN MOUNTAINS. UNSETTLED WEATHER 
WILL CONTINUE SUNDAY AND MONDAY...AS STRENGTHENING AREA OF LOW 
PRESSURE IN THE UPPER LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE...BUILDS EAST FROM 
THE CENTRAL ROCKIES INTO THE MIDWEST STATES.    


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-160900-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
353 AM EDT SAT MAY 15 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (-2)   57-62 (+5)   76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (-6)   94-99 (+9)   45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.03         0.19         
LAL                   3            2            3            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7200                      7500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  6                     SW 16        
DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   75 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-160900-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
353 AM EDT SAT MAY 15 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (-1)   55-60 (+4)   75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (-3)   93-98 (+5)   47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.03         0.19         
LAL                   3            3            3            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7500                      7200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  5                      SW 12        
DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               44 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-160900-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
353 AM EDT SAT MAY 15 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (0)    57-62 (+3)   74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (-2)   89-94 (+4)   45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.24         0.04         0.40         
LAL                   3            3            3            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7200                      7600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  6                     SW 14        
DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   54 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 50S
TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S
TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-160900-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
353 AM EDT SAT MAY 15 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (-1)   58-63 (+1)   78-83        
RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (-4)   88-93 (+2)   49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.27         0.04         0.46         
LAL                   3            3            3            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7300                      7400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  5                     SW 12        
DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               51 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-160900-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
353 AM EDT SAT MAY 15 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (0)    58-63 (+1)   76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (-4)   87-92 (+4)   52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.26         0.04         0.40         
LAL                   3            3            3            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8500                      8100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  3                     SW 12        
DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               61 GOOD      
MAX LVORI             5                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-160900-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
353 AM EDT SAT MAY 15 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (-1)   57-62 (+3)   78-83        
RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (-4)   93-98 (+5)   48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.03         0.29         
LAL                   3            3            3            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6800                      6500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  5                      SW 14        
DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               59 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-160900-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
353 AM EDT SAT MAY 15 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (-3)   60-65 (+3)   78-83        
RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (-3)   91-96 (+5)   49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.21         0.03         0.54         
LAL                   3            3            3            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6500                      6200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  5                      SW 12        
DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   50 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-160900-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
353 AM EDT SAT MAY 15 2010 /253 AM CDT SAT MAY 15 2010/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (-2)   60-65 (+2)   80-85        
RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (-1)   91-96 (+2)   47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.32         0.04         0.58         
LAL                   3            3            3            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6800                      6500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  3                     SW  9        
DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               43 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID
60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S
TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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