
663 
FNUS54 KMRX 141932
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
332 PM EDT FRI MAY 14 2010

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK COOL FRONT WILL MOVE SLOWLY SOUTH ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY 
TONIGHT AND PROVIDE THE NECESSARY LIFT FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS...ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION. THE BEST 
CHANCE FOR STRONG STORMS WILL BE OVER SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...AND THE 
CUMBERLAND PLATEAU. SATURDAY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL 
REDEVELOP AND AFFECT MOSTLY THE SOUTHERN PARTS OF THE CUMBERLAND 
PLATEAU...SOUTHERN VALLEY AND SOUTHERN MOUNTAINS. 

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-152030-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
332 PM EDT FRI MAY 14 2010

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (-1)   76-81 (-4)   55-60        74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-7)   40-45 (-12)  87-92        42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           20           20           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            12 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.01         0.03         0.14         
LAL                   3            3            3            3            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      3300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  8                     SW  7        
DISPERSION                         22 FAIR                   7 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-152030-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
332 PM EDT FRI MAY 14 2010

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+1)   74-79 (-3)   55-60        72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (-6)   43-48 (-7)   88-93        47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           20           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            12 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         0.03         0.10         0.20         
LAL                   3            3            3            3            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  7                     S  8         
DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-152030-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
332 PM EDT FRI MAY 14 2010

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+1)   75-80 (0)    56-61        73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-7)   46-51 (-6)   86-91        45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           50           30           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            12 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.12         0.15         0.42         
LAL                   3            3            3            3            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      5800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  6                      S 12         
DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               27 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-152030-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
332 PM EDT FRI MAY 14 2010

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (+2)   79-84 (-1)   59-64        77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-7)   49-54 (-2)   88-93        51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           60           30           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            12 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.24         0.14         0.40         
LAL                   3            4            3            3            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  6                      SW 17        
DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               46 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-152030-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
332 PM EDT FRI MAY 14 2010

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (+4)   79-84 (-1)   58-63        76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-11)  49-54 (-1)   87-92        50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           60           40           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            12 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.22         0.15         0.44         
LAL                   3            4            3            3            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6100                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  6                     SW 16        
DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               39 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-152030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
332 PM EDT FRI MAY 14 2010

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (0)    78-83 (-3)   57-62        76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (-4)   41-46 (-8)   90-95        46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           20           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            12 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.03         0.08         0.26         
LAL                   3            3            3            3            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      3400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  7                     S  8         
DISPERSION                         23 FAIR                   14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-152030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
332 PM EDT FRI MAY 14 2010

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (-2)   79-84 (-3)   59-64        77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-1)   44-49 (-7)   91-96        49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           50           30           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            12 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.17         0.10         0.37         
LAL                   3            4            3            3            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  7                     SW 10        
DISPERSION                         24 FAIR                   25 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-152030-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
332 PM EDT FRI MAY 14 2010 /232 PM CDT FRI MAY 14 2010/

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (-2)   80-85 (-2)   61-66        78-83        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+2)   49-54 (+1)   93-98        49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           70           30           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            12 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.29         0.12         0.28         
LAL                   3            4            3            3            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6100                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  6                      SW 15        
DISPERSION                         25 FAIR                   47 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S
TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

DGS/TD

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