
166 
FNUS54 KMRX 140758
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
358 AM EDT FRI MAY 14 2010

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK COOL FRONT MOVE ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY INTO THE MID SOUTH 
TODAY. THE FRONT WILL PROVIDE NECESSARY LIFT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF 
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...ACROSS THE SOUTHERN 
APPALACHIAN REGION. THE BEST CHANCE FOR DEVELOPMENT WILL BE ACROSS 
SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...AND THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU...WHICH WILL BE 
CLOSER TO THE APPROACHING FRONTAL BOUNDARY.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-150900-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
358 AM EDT FRI MAY 14 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (-2)   58-63 (-2)   76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (+6)   91-96 (+5)   40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   8 AM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.02         0.02         
LAL                   3            3            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7700                      7600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 15                      W  8         
DISPERSION            71 GOOD                   37 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-150900-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
358 AM EDT FRI MAY 14 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (-1)   56-61 (0)    74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (+5)   95-100 (+3)  44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      W  5         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   8 AM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.03         0.03         
LAL                   3            3            3            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7000                      7600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 10                      W  7         
DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   26 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN
THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-150900-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
358 AM EDT FRI MAY 14 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (-3)   56-61 (0)    74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (+13)  92-97 (+11)  47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   8 AM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.02         0.06         
LAL                   3            3            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7700                      7500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  6                      S  3         
DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING
SOUTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S
TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO
UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-150900-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
358 AM EDT FRI MAY 14 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (-3)   58-63 (0)    77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (+10)  90-95 (+6)   52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           20           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   8 AM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.02         0.11         
LAL                   3            3            3            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6400                      6800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  3                      E  3         
DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER
70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-150900-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
358 AM EDT FRI MAY 14 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (-2)   58-63 (+2)   77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (+11)  90-95 (+6)   52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   8 AM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.02         0.10         
LAL                   3            3            3            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7600                      7900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  3                     SE  3        
DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               17 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI             5                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 60. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST
LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER
70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-150900-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
358 AM EDT FRI MAY 14 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (-2)   58-63 (-1)   78-83        
RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (+8)   95-100 (+5)  42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   8 AM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.02         0.04         
LAL                   3            3            3            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6900                      7000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 10                      NW  5        
DISPERSION            50 GEN GOOD               22 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH LESS
THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-150900-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
358 AM EDT FRI MAY 14 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (-2)   59-64 (-3)   79-84        
RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (+10)  90-95 (+8)   45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   8 AM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.02         0.10         
LAL                   3            3            3            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6300                      6200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  8                     SE  3        
DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   15 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-150900-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
358 AM EDT FRI MAY 14 2010 /258 AM CDT FRI MAY 14 2010/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (-3)   60-65 (-3)   79-84        
RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (+8)   92-97 (+9)   50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           20           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   8 AM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.01         0.15         
LAL                   3            2            3            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  7                      SE  5        
DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   18 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS NEAR 80. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID TO
UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

