
158 
FNUS54 KMRX 110746
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
600 AM EDT TUE MAY 11 2010

...BREEZY WINDS EXPECTED TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
A WARM FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 
TODAY...BRINGING A RETURN TO UNSEASONABLY WARM AND HUMID CONDITIONS 
FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK. AS A RESULT...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE MOST EVERY DAY THIS WEEK...BUT 
ESPECIALLY TOWARDS THE END OF THE WEEK...WHEN A WEAK COLD FRONT 
APPROACHES THE REGION.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-120815-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
600 AM EDT TUE MAY 11 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (+8)   58-63 (+12)  75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (+13)  84-89 (+3)   51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 13 G26                  SW  6 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 13 G26     S  8 G17     SW  7 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.04         0.17         
LAL                   3            3            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 28                     W 18         
DISPERSION            80 GOOD                   46 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 
80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-120815-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT TUE MAY 11 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (+7)   57-62 (+12)  73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (+13)  85-90 (+1)   51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 15 G26                  SW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 13 G25     S 11 G21     SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.03         0.12         
LAL                   3            3            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 24                      W 16         
DISPERSION            54 GEN GOOD               36 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-120815-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
600 AM EDT TUE MAY 11 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (+8)   57-62 (+12)  73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (+14)  88-93 (-3)   44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 16 G31                  SW  8 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 14 G27     S 13 G25     SW  9 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.03         0.08         
LAL                   3            3            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 28                      SW 15        
DISPERSION            56 GEN GOOD               31 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-120815-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT TUE MAY 11 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (+9)   59-64 (+12)  78-83        
RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (+8)   90-95 (-2)   45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 14 G27                  S  8 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 13 G23     S 10 G21     SW  9 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.03         0.04         
LAL                   3            3            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 28                      SW 16        
DISPERSION            73 GOOD                   48 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. 
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. 
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-120815-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT TUE MAY 11 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (+9)   58-63 (+12)  77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (+10)  90-95 (-3)   44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 12 G23                 S  6 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G21     S  7 G17     SW  8 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.03         0.04         
LAL                   3            3            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 24                      SW 15        
DISPERSION            67 GOOD                   41 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI             4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. 
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-120815-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
600 AM EDT TUE MAY 11 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (+8)   59-64 (+12)  78-83        
RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (+11)  88-93 (+2)   49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G22                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G22     S  7 G16     SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.04         0.13         
LAL                   3            3            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 24                      SW 16        
DISPERSION            73 GOOD                   49 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. 
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 
80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-120815-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
600 AM EDT TUE MAY 11 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (+10)  61-66 (+12)  78-83        
RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (+10)  88-93 (-2)   47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 13 G27                  SW  7 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G24     S  7 G16     SW  8 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.05         0.08         
LAL                   3            3            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 29                      SW 16        
DISPERSION            90 GOOD                   46 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. 
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 
80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-120815-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
600 AM EDT TUE MAY 11 2010 /500 AM CDT TUE MAY 11 2010/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (+11)  62-67 (+13)  80-85        
RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (+7)   85-90 (-6)   45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 14 G25                  SW  8 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 13 G24     S  7 G16     SW  8 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.03         0.03         
LAL                   3            3            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 29                      SW 17        
DISPERSION            90 GOOD                   61 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. 
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 80S. EAST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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