
726 
FNUS54 KMRX 011433 AAA
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1033 AM EDT SAT MAY 1 2010

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE PLAIN STATES WILL MOVE 
TOWARD THE TENNESSEE VALLEY THIS WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK 
PRODUCING AN INCREASING CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  THE 
RAIN WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES...ESPECIALLY SUNDAY NIGHT.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-021545-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
1033 AM EDT SAT MAY 1 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (+2)   59-64 (+2)   83-88        
RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (+15)  91-96 (+22)  38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G18                  S 14 G28     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G20    S  6 G15     SW 16 G28    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.02         0.10         
LAL                   5            3            4            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7500                      6700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 22                     SW 38        
DISPERSION            101 VERY GOOD             152 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN
THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER
70S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-021545-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1033 AM EDT SAT MAY 1 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (+3)   58-63 (+4)   81-86        
RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (+15)  93-98 (+19)  38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G17                  S 15 G27     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G17    S  7 G16     SW 16 G27    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.02         0.03         
LAL                   3            3            3            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8100                      7100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     SW 33        
DISPERSION            79 GOOD                   124 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO
LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER
70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-021545-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
1033 AM EDT SAT MAY 1 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (+3)   59-64 (+4)   78-83        
RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (+16)  89-94 (+11)  37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 11 G22                  S 19 G35     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 12 G23    S 10 G26     S 19 G34     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           50           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.04         0.09         
LAL                   4            3            3            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7200                      6900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 26                      SW 41        
DISPERSION            94 GOOD                   136 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S.
SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 5 TO 15 MPH EARLY
IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN
THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO
UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-021545-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1033 AM EDT SAT MAY 1 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (+4)   61-66 (+4)   81-86        
RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (+19)  86-91 (+7)   44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G22                  S 17 G31     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G22     SE  8 G20    S 17 G31     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           30           50           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.05         0.11         
LAL                   4            3            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6400                      6700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 29                      SW 40        
DISPERSION            105 VERY GOOD             159 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID
60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER
70S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 5 TO 10 MPH
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN
THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER
70S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-021545-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
1033 AM EDT SAT MAY 1 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (+5)   61-66 (+4)   82-87        
RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (+15)  85-90 (+6)   41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G17                  S 15 G29     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G17     SE  6 G16    S 16 G29     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           30           50           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.04         0.08         
LAL                   4            3            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7700                      7300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 25                      SW 38        
DISPERSION            121 VERY GOOD             167 VERY GOOD
MAX LVORI             3                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER
70S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 5 TO 10 MPH
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN
THE LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-021545-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
1033 AM EDT SAT MAY 1 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (+3)   61-66 (+6)   83-88        
RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (+15)  89-94 (+12)  39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G17                  S 12 G26     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G17    LGT/VAR      SW 15 G27    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.03         0.08         
LAL                   4            3            4            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6300                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 20                     SW 36        
DISPERSION            80 GOOD                   134 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER
70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-021545-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
1033 AM EDT SAT MAY 1 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (0)    63-68 (+5)   80-85        
RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (+24)  88-93 (+10)  47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G20                  S 15 G29     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G20     S  6 G15     SW 16 G29    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           30           60           
PRECIP DURATION       3            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.34         0.06         0.19         
LAL                   5            3            4            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 31                      SW 40        
DISPERSION            122 VERY GOOD             143 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S
TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN
THE 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-021545-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
1033 AM EDT SAT MAY 1 2010 /933 AM CDT SAT MAY 1 2010/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (-1)   63-68 (+3)   82-87        
RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (+27)  88-93 (+10)  42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G20                  S 16 G30     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G20     SE  7 G17    S 17 G30     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           40           60           
PRECIP DURATION       3            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.27         0.06         0.18         
LAL                   4            3            4            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5700                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 32                      SW 40        
DISPERSION            128 VERY GOOD             148 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO
MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO
THE NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN
THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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