
557 
FNUS54 KMRX 240725
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
325 AM EDT SAT APR 24 2010

.DISCUSSION...
A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CROSS THE TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY 
THROUGH TONIGHT...BRINGING THE POTENTIAL FOR A SEVERE WEATHER 
OUTBREAK BY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR 
LARGE HAIL, STRONG DAMAGING WINDS, FREQUENT LIGHTNING, LOCALIZED 
FLOODING AND POSSIBLY TORNADOES. SOME STORMS MAY STILL OCCUR ON 
SUNDAY, BUT ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE AS STRONG NOR AS NUMEROUS.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-250830-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
325 AM EDT SAT APR 24 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (+1)   54-59 (+1)   73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (0)    84-89 (0)    37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  8 G18                 SW 13 G24    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G25     S 14 G25     SW 15 G25    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           90           40           
PRECIP DURATION       3            4            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.26         1.02         0.03         
LAL                   5            5            3            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7400                      7000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 24                      SW 35        
DISPERSION            112 VERY GOOD             150 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-250830-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
325 AM EDT SAT APR 24 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (0)    54-59 (+2)   72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (+3)   85-90 (+1)   37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  9 G20                 SW 11 G21    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 13 G25     S 15 G29     SW 13 G23    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           90           40           
PRECIP DURATION       3            4            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.27         0.97         0.03         
LAL                   4            5            3            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6900                      6900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 23                      SW 30        
DISPERSION            83 GOOD                   107 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S
TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-250830-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
325 AM EDT SAT APR 24 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (-3)   52-57 (0)    71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (+15)  95-100 (+9)  37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 11 G23                  SW 14 G25    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 15 G32     S 19 G36     SW 16 G27    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           90           40           
PRECIP DURATION       6            4            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.42         1.10         0.02         
LAL                   5            5            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      6800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 30                      SW 33        
DISPERSION            58 GEN GOOD               106 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN
THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-250830-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
325 AM EDT SAT APR 24 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (-4)   54-59 (0)    73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (+12)  93-98 (+11)  37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 11 G23                  SW 12 G24    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 16 G31     S 16 G32     SW 14 G24    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           90           30           
PRECIP DURATION       6            4            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.50         1.08         0.02         
LAL                   5            5            3            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      7800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 33                      SW 33        
DISPERSION            70 GOOD                   166 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
MID 60S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN
THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-250830-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
325 AM EDT SAT APR 24 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (-5)   52-57 (-1)   72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (+14)  95-100 (+14) 39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G23                  SW 12 G23    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 14 G26     S 13 G26     SW 14 G23    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           90           30           
PRECIP DURATION       6            4            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.48         1.03         0.02         
LAL                   5            5            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      7700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 29                      SW 32        
DISPERSION            59 GEN GOOD               152 VERY GOOD
MAX LVORI             4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN
THE LOWER TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-250830-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
325 AM EDT SAT APR 24 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (-1)   55-60 (+1)   75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (+5)   87-92 (+2)   36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  6 G15                 SW 12 G24    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 11 G21     S 12 G23     SW 14 G24    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           90           40           
PRECIP DURATION       3            4            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.33         1.07         0.03         
LAL                   5            5            3            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6600                      6900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 22                      SW 33        
DISPERSION            99 GOOD                   157 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
MID 60S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN
THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-250830-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
325 AM EDT SAT APR 24 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (-4)   55-60 (-1)   75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (+11)  94-99 (+12)  37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G18                  SW 13 G25    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 14 G28     S 16 G29     SW 15 G26    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           90           40           
PRECIP DURATION       6            4            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.46         1.30         0.02         
LAL                   5            5            3            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      6900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 33                      SW 36        
DISPERSION            118 VERY GOOD             172 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN
THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S
TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-250830-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
325 AM EDT SAT APR 24 2010 /225 AM CDT SAT APR 24 2010/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (-6)   56-61 (-1)   76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (+14)  92-97 (+14)  35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 11 G23                  SW 12 G24    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 16 G30     S 15 G29     SW 14 G25    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           90           30           
PRECIP DURATION       6            4            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.60         1.12         0.02         
LAL                   5            5            3            
LASI                  3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      8400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 35                      SW 37        
DISPERSION            82 GOOD                   200 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN
THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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