
694 
FNUS54 KMRX 231859
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
300 PM EDT FRI APR 23 2010

.DISCUSSION...
A COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY WILL 
LIKELY AFFECT THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION AFTER MIDNIGHT 
TONIGHT...BRINGING THE POSSIBILITY OF A FEW STRONG STORMS. A STRONG 
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL THEN APPROACH THE TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY ON 
SATURDAY...BRINGING THE POTENTIAL FOR A SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK BY 
SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-241945-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
300 PM EDT FRI APR 23 2010

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+8)   71-76 (+2)   53-58        73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-5)   49-54 (-2)   87-92        38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  7 G17                  SW 14 G26    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 11 G20     S 15 G29     SW 15 G27    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           70           90           50           
PRECIP DURATION       2            3            4            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   6 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.23         0.26         1.02         0.03         
LAL                   4            5            5            3            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      7800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 23                      SW 35        
DISPERSION                         57 GEN GOOD               169 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...A FEW STORMS ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING MAY LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO TWO INCHES.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS NEAR 50. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO
MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN 
THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO 
LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-241945-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
300 PM EDT FRI APR 23 2010

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+8)   69-74 (+1)   53-58        71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-6)   51-56 (0)    87-92        39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  8 G17                  SW 13 G25    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 12 G24     S 16 G30     W 16 G27     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           70           90           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            4            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   6 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.27         0.97         0.03         
LAL                   3            4            5            3            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      8000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 20                      SW 30        
DISPERSION                         37 FAIR                   138 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...A FEW STORMS ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING MAY LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO TWO INCHES.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S 
TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN 
THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S 
TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S 
TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-241945-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
300 PM EDT FRI APR 23 2010

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+2)   69-74 (-1)   53-58        71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-1)   54-59 (+11)  92-97        39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  8 G19                  SW 14 G29    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G15     S 16 G36     S 20 G39     SW 17 G29    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           80           90           40           
PRECIP DURATION       2            6            4            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   6 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.27         0.42         1.10         0.02         
LAL                   4            5            5            3            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      8000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 26                      SW 32        
DISPERSION                         42 GEN GOOD               135 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...A FEW STORMS ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING MAY LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO TWO INCHES.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO 
UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN 
THE UPPER 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO 
UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S 
TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 
UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-241945-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
300 PM EDT FRI APR 23 2010

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+4)   71-76 (-3)   55-60        73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-11)  52-57 (+10)  90-95        38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  7 G16                  SW 13 G25    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         S 13 G31     S 18 G33     SW 15 G26    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           80           90           30           
PRECIP DURATION       2            6            4            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   6 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.49         0.50         1.08         0.02         
LAL                   4            5            5            3            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      8000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 28                      SW 29        
DISPERSION                         58 GEN GOOD               147 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...A FEW STORMS ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING MAY LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO TWO INCHES.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST 
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN 
THE 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER 
MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO 
MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-241945-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
300 PM EDT FRI APR 23 2010

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+5)   70-75 (-4)   53-58        72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-11)  54-59 (+12)  92-97        39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6                      SW 12 G23    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE 11 G26    S 15 G28     SW 14 G25    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           80           90           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            6            4            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   6 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.55         0.48         1.03         0.02         
LAL                   4            5            5            3            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      8000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 25                      SW 26        
DISPERSION                         57 GEN GOOD               134 VERY GOOD
MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

REMARKS...A FEW STORMS ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING MAY LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO TWO INCHES.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST 
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO 
MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-241945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
300 PM EDT FRI APR 23 2010

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+6)   73-78 (+1)   55-60        75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-3)   49-54 (+1)   89-94        38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      SW 14 G27    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  8 G18     S 13 G25     SW 16 G28    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           70           90           40           
PRECIP DURATION       2            3            4            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   6 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.33         1.07         0.03         
LAL                   4            5            5            3            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      7200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 21                      SW 32        
DISPERSION                         58 GEN GOOD               157 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...A FEW STORMS ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING MAY LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO TWO INCHES.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S 
TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN 
THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S 
TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S 
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-241945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
300 PM EDT FRI APR 23 2010

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+5)   73-78 (-2)   56-61        75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-5)   52-57 (+7)   90-95        38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6 G16                  SW 14 G27    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         S 11 G24     S 16 G31     SW 15 G27    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           80           90           40           
PRECIP DURATION       2            6            4            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   6 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.38         0.46         1.30         0.02         
LAL                   4            5            5            3            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      7700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 28                      SW 32        
DISPERSION                         73 GOOD                   178 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...A FEW STORMS ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING MAY LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO TWO INCHES.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST 
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN 
THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-241945-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
300 PM EDT FRI APR 23 2010 /200 PM CDT FRI APR 23 2010/

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+9)   73-78 (-4)   58-63        75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (-10)  54-59 (+13)  86-91        36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  7 G18                  SW 13 G25    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         S 12 G28     S 16 G30     SW 14 G26    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           90           90           30           
PRECIP DURATION       2            6            4            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   6 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.40         0.60         1.12         0.02         
LAL                   4            5            5            3            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      8000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 29                      SW 31        
DISPERSION                         79 GOOD                   182 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...A FEW STORMS ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING MAY LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO TWO INCHES.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 
LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN 
THE MID TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 
TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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