
370 
FNUS54 KMRX 231414 AAA
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST 
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1015 AM EDT FRI APR 23 2010

.DISCUSSION...
A WARM FRONT WILL SLOWLY MOVE NORTH ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 
REGION TODAY...TRIGGERING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS. 
A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE INTO THE TENNESSEE RIVER 
VALLEY ON SATURDAY...BRINGING THE POTENTIAL FOR A SEVERE WEATHER 
OUTBREAK BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-241500-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
1015 AM EDT FRI APR 23 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (+1)   53-58 (+8)   71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (+11)  86-91 (-6)   49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           60           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.48         0.28         
LAL                   3            4            4            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6600                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      SW 23        
DISPERSION            46 GEN GOOD               58 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 
TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN 
THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS NEAR 60. 
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS 
IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-241500-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1015 AM EDT FRI APR 23 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (+3)   52-57 (+8)   69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (+7)   85-90 (-6)   51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         S 10 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           50           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.16         0.28         
LAL                   3            3            4            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7600                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 13                      SW 20        
DISPERSION            54 GEN GOOD               39 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 50S. 
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN 
THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-241500-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
1015 AM EDT FRI APR 23 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (+5)   53-58 (+3)   67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (+5)   82-87 (-7)   55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  8 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G18    SW  8 G16    S 13 G26     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           50           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.19         0.50         
LAL                   2            4            4            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8300                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 15                     S 26         
DISPERSION            69 GOOD                   30 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 50S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN 
THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 
LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. 
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO 
UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S 
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-241500-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1015 AM EDT FRI APR 23 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (+6)   54-59 (+4)   69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (-1)   87-92 (-8)   56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  8 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G18    SW  7        S 13 G24     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           60           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.31         0.58         
LAL                   2            4            4            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7500                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     S 26         
DISPERSION            79 GOOD                   46 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 50S. 
SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-241500-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
1015 AM EDT FRI APR 23 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (+6)   52-57 (+4)   69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (-1)   87-92 (-8)   54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  6 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G20    SW  5        S 12 G21     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           50           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.42         0.56         
LAL                   2            4            4            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8200                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 18                     S 24         
DISPERSION            94 GOOD                   53 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI             3                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 50S. 
SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS NEAR 70. SOUTH 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-241500-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
1015 AM EDT FRI APR 23 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (+3)   53-58 (+5)   72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (+7)   88-93 (-4)   50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           60           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.24         0.39         
LAL                   3            4            4            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6500                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 12                     SW 21        
DISPERSION            50 GEN GOOD               46 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN 
THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S 
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-241500-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
1015 AM EDT FRI APR 23 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (+5)   56-61 (+5)   71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (+1)   83-88 (-5)   54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  5                     S  7 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G15    S  6         S 10 G20     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           60           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.51         0.54         
LAL                   3            4            4            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6600                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 12                     SW 26        
DISPERSION            56 GEN GOOD               65 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-241500-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
1015 AM EDT FRI APR 23 2010 /915 AM CDT FRI APR 23 2010/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (+6)   58-63 (+10)  72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (-2)   80-85 (-9)   54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  8 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G17     S  6         S 13 G27     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           60           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.29         0.68         
LAL                   2            4            4            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6700                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     S 26         
DISPERSION            69 GOOD                   67 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 
TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 
60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 
TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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