
684 
FNUS54 KMRX 211834
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
234 PM EDT SUN MAR 21 2010

.DISCUSSION...
A STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND SOUTHERN 
APPALACHIANS TONIGHT AND MONDAY.  WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED 
ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS AND ADJACENT FOOTHILLS THROUGH EARLY 
MONDAY MORNING.  SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A THUNDERSTORM WILL MOVE 
ACROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT.  SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE ANTICIPATED 
MONDAY...POSSIBLY MIXING WITH SNOW ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE SOUTHERN 
APPALACHIANS FOR LATE TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY PRODUCING DRY 
CONDITIONS AND WARMER TEMPERATURES.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-221945-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
234 PM EDT SUN MAR 21 2010

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-5)   43-48 (-19)  32-37        45-50        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+23)  52-57 (+15)  88-93        55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G15                 W 10 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 13 G27    SW  6 G15    SW  6        W 10 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           80           50           50           
PRECIP DURATION       8            5            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.29         0.12         0.06         0.04         
LAL                   1            4            1            2            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2600                      2700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 14                     W 25         
DISPERSION                         7 POOR                    13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-221945-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
234 PM EDT SUN MAR 21 2010

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-3)   39-44 (-19)  30-35        45-50        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+24) 53-58 (+6)   86-91        54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W 12 G23     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 19 G37    W  7 G15     W  6         W 11 G22     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           80           60           50           
PRECIP DURATION       8            5            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.55         0.20         0.08         0.05         
LAL                   3            1            1            2            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      3100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 13                     NW 30        
DISPERSION                         3 VERY POOR               8 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS
IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-221945-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
234 PM EDT SUN MAR 21 2010

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-8)   35-40 (-20)  31-36        49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+18) 58-63 (+4)   88-93        51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  8 G16                 W 10 G21     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 19 G39     SW  8        SW  7        W  6 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SNOW/RAIN    SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           50           60           40           
PRECIP DURATION       5            2            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.44         0.12         0.08         0.05         
LAL                   3            1            1            2            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 15                     NW 23        
DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    9 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-221945-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
234 PM EDT SUN MAR 21 2010

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-6)   40-45 (-17)  34-39        53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+14) 50-55 (-11)  85-90        50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G15                 W  7         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 15 G38     SW  7        SW  5        NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           40           60           30           
PRECIP DURATION       5            1            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.06         0.06         0.02         
LAL                   3            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 16                     NW 21        
DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               34 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-221945-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
234 PM EDT SUN MAR 21 2010

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-2)   41-46 (-16)  35-40        53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+7)   50-55 (-9)   82-87        50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6                     NW  9 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 14 G34     SW  7        LGT/VAR      NW  8 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           40           60           30           
PRECIP DURATION       5            1            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.19         0.08         0.06         0.02         
LAL                   3            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 15                     NW 26        
DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   37 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          5                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-221945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
234 PM EDT SUN MAR 21 2010

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (0)    44-49 (-18)  33-38        48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+12)  49-54 (+6)   88-93        54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6 G15                  W 10 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 10 G21    W  8 G18     SW  7        W  9 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          70           60           30           
PRECIP DURATION       8            2            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.37         0.10         0.04         0.02         
LAL                   3            4            1            2            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2900                      2700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 15                     W 23         
DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               24 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-221945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
234 PM EDT SUN MAR 21 2010

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-9)   40-45 (-20)  35-40        52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+18) 56-61 (+9)   89-94        49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  8 G16                 W  8 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6 G17    SW  9 G16    SW  6        W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          50           60           30           
PRECIP DURATION       5            1            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.30         0.04         0.04         0.01         
LAL                   3            1            1            2            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      3000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 17                     NW 21        
DISPERSION                         29 FAIR                   30 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-221945-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
234 PM EDT SUN MAR 21 2010 /134 PM CDT SUN MAR 21 2010/

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-13)  40-45 (-17)  37-42        56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+23) 55-60 (0)    84-89        45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7                     W  8 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G23     SW  7        SW  7        W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           40           60           10           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.03         0.03         0.01         
LAL                   3            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 15                     NW 23        
DISPERSION                         25 FAIR                   60 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS AROUND 60. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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