
291 
FNUS54 KMRX 151842
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
242 PM EDT MON MAR 15 2010

.DISCUSSION...
A PERSISTENT TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST WILL 
KEEP MOSTLY CLOUDY SKY AND CHANCE OF SHOWERS ACROSS SOUTHWEST 
VIRGINIA AND FAR EASTERN TENNESSEE MOUNTAINS OVERNIGHT.  THE 
PRECIPITATION WILL FALL IN THE FORM OF SNOW ACROSS THE HIGHER 
TERRAIN...GENERALLY ABOVE 3500 FEET.

A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION TUESDAY 
PRODUCING DRY CONDITIONS WITH A GRADUAL WARMING TREND.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-161945-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
242 PM EDT MON MAR 15 2010

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-1)   47-52 (+4)   35-40        50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-6)   52-57 (-13)  95-100       55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G16    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            10           
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                   8 AM         
PRECIP END            8 AM                                   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 14                      E  3         
DISPERSION                         29 FAIR                   7 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-161945-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
242 PM EDT MON MAR 15 2010

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (0)    46-51 (+4)   34-39        47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-7)   50-55 (-12)  93-98        59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G20    N  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           0            20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                8 AM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 AM                     CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.01         0.00         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 14                      S  3         
DISPERSION                         24 FAIR                   6 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-161945-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
242 PM EDT MON MAR 15 2010

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (+1)   49-54 (+9)   37-42        47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (-3)   46-51 (-20)  89-94        57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  8 G16                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  9 G18     NE  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            30           
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                   8 AM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.00         0.00         0.06         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 15                      W  5         
DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   8 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER
40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-161945-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
242 PM EDT MON MAR 15 2010

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (0)    52-57 (+7)   40-45        51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (-3)   46-51 (-17)  85-90        56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  9 G18                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  8 G16     N  8         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            30           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.08         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 21                      S  8         
DISPERSION                         57 GEN GOOD               25 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-161945-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
242 PM EDT MON MAR 15 2010

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (0)    52-57 (+7)   41-46        51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (-4)   45-50 (-15)  86-91        61-66        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  8 G16                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  8 G16     N  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            30           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.11         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 18                      S  8         
DISPERSION                         45 GEN GOOD               20 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-161945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
242 PM EDT MON MAR 15 2010

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-1)   51-56 (+6)   37-42        51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-6)   47-52 (-14)  86-91        54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                   8 AM         
PRECIP END            5 AM                                   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 12                      SE  3        
DISPERSION                         32 FAIR                   10 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
40S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-161945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
242 PM EDT MON MAR 15 2010

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+1)   52-57 (+7)   39-44        53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-6)   45-50 (-15)  83-88        50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        N  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SPRINKLES    NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 15                      SE  3        
DISPERSION                         48 GEN GOOD               12 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
40S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. LIGHT
WINDS. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-161945-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
242 PM EDT MON MAR 15 2010 /142 PM CDT MON MAR 15 2010/

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-2)   53-58 (+5)   41-46        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+2)   42-47 (-15)  79-84        47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  8                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  7         N  8         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 17                      SE  7        
DISPERSION                         62 GOOD                   24 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS NEAR 60. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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