
535 
FNUS54 KMRX 150801
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
401 AM EDT MON MAR 15 2010

.DISCUSSION...
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS WILL CREEP 
SLOWLY EAST TODAY...AND PRODUCE RAIN SHOWERS OVER THE REGION. THE 
RAIN WILL MIX WITH OR FALL AS SNOW SHOWERS IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS 
OF THE SMOKY MOUNTAINS. A LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATION IS POSSIBLE ACROSS
PARTS OF SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA AND NORTHEAST TENNESSEE...MAINLY 
ABOVE 3500 FEET. RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS MAY LINGER INTO TONIGHT...
THEN DRY WEATHER RETURNS ON TUESDAY.   


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-160915-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
401 AM EDT MON MAR 15 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+4)   32-37 (-3)   48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (-17)  95-100 (-1)  50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  7 G15                 N  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G18    NW  8 G16    N  7         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.04         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 18                     N 14         
DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               17 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-160915-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
401 AM EDT MON MAR 15 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+2)   31-36 (-2)   47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (-11)  95-100 (+1)  51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  8 G17                 NW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G23    NW 10 G22    N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           30           10           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.05         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 20                     N 12         
DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               12 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
WEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO
20 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-160915-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
401 AM EDT MON MAR 15 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+2)   30-35 (0)    48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (-17)  95-100 (+1)  52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5                     NE  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G18    N  8 G19     NE  6        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.05         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 15                      NE 13        
DISPERSION            11 POOR                   14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. LIGHT WINDS
BECOMING EAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-160915-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
401 AM EDT MON MAR 15 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+3)   33-38 (-1)   50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (-18)  95-100 (0)   51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  7 G15                 N  9 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  9 G17     N  9 G16     N  9 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 17                      N 18         
DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               27 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 30S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-160915-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
401 AM EDT MON MAR 15 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+3)   33-38 (-1)   50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (-22)  95-100 (0)   51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  9 G18                 N  7 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G19    N 10 G19     N  7 G15     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           10           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         8 PM                      
PRECIP END            2 PM         8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 21                      N 13         
DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               16 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI             5                         5            

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO
THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH LESS THAN
10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-160915-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
401 AM EDT MON MAR 15 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+3)   34-39 (-2)   52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (-14)  93-98 (+2)   50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  7                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G18    NW  6 G15    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 15                     N 10         
DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   21 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING
TO THE SOUTH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 30S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S
TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS
IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-160915-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
401 AM EDT MON MAR 15 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+2)   35-40 (-1)   52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (-12)  92-97 (+2)   48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  7                     N  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G17    N  7 G15     NE  5        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            2 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 15                      NE 16        
DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   34 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH EARLY IN
THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 30S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-160915-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
401 AM EDT MON MAR 15 2010 /301 AM CDT MON MAR 15 2010/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+3)   35-40 (-3)   52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (-12)  95-100 (+8)  45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  9 G16                 N  8 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G19    N  8 G16     N  7 G15     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 20                      N 21         
DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   49 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST LESS THAN
10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS AROUND 60. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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